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Liga MX

Pumas UNAM - Atlético San Luis

09/27/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Pumas UNAM
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Atlético San Luis
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
PUASL

Pumas UNAM

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.46
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.20
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.20
Robert Morales未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Pedro Vite未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)

Atlético San Luis

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.38
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.37
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.21
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

31%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

69%

双方进球

是

51%

否

49%

关键因素
  • Only 18% of Atlético San Luis's goal threat is currently available
  • Pumas UNAM recently averaged 43% possession and 4.0 shots on target, playing a counter-oriented style
  • Pumas UNAM's home attack (1.67 goals) meets Atlético San Luis's weak away defense (1.67 goals conceded)
风险因素
  • Robert Morales and Pedro Vite are missing for Pumas UNAM, with only 68% of seasonal goal threat available
  • Pumas UNAM's scoring has slowed down to 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.7
  • Atlético San Luis concede an average of 1.67 goals per away game
概述

Pumas UNAM host Atlético San Luis

Liga MX match on September 27, 2026, 6:00 PM

Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Pumas UNAM sit in 12th place with 12 points

Atlético San Luis are in 16th place with 9 points

近期状态

Pumas UNAM form is DLWLD

They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games

Atlético San Luis form is DWLLW

They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses recently

Pumas UNAM's goal scoring has slowed down recently, averaging 1.0 goals

统计数据

Pumas UNAM average 1.67 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded at home

Atlético San Luis average 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded away

The model calculates 1.26 expected home goals and 1.17 expected away goals

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in total

3 wins for Pumas UNAM and 1 win for Atlético San Luis

Goal difference of 8:3 in favor of Pumas UNAM

The last meeting ended in a 2:0 victory for Pumas UNAM

关键球员

Juninho with 4 goals and Luciano Herrera with 1 goal and 1 assist

Uriel Antuna contributed 1 assist

David Rodríguez with 2 goals and 1 assist for the away side

Óscar Macías with 1 goal and 1 assist alongside Rafa Llorente with 2 goals

门将

Keylor Navas played 9 matches with an average rating of 6.58

Manuel Gibran Lajud Bojalil played 3 matches with a rating of 6.77

Pumas UNAM kept 12 clean sheets so far this season

Atlético San Luis recorded 7 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

The average total goals at this venue is 2.4 per game

Both teams scored in 60% of matches played at this stadium

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