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Liga MX

Guadalajara - Querétaro

09/26/2026, 11:07 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Guadalajara
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Querétaro
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

2:1

8%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
GUAQUE

Guadalajara

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.38
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.27
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.26
Roberto Alvarado未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
47%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

Querétaro

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.37
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.18
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.08
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

30%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

52%

否

48%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: Guadalajara scores more frequently in recent trends with 2.8 goals than their season average of 1.9
  • Surface strength: The home side is extremely strong on artificial turf with 7 wins from 10 matches
  • Defensive weakness: Querétaro concedes an average of 2.5 goals in away matches
风险因素
  • Roberto Alvarado is missing, leaving only 68% of the seasonal goal threat available
  • Limited attacking power for Querétaro, averaging only 3.8 shots on target recently
  • Limited historical head-to-head data available in the dataset
概述

Guadalajara host Querétaro at Estadio AKRON

Liga MX match on September 26, 2026, 11:07 PM

A top clash between the second-placed and sixth-placed teams

Guadalajara sits in 2nd place with 18 points, just one point off the top

近期状态

Guadalajara is in good shape with three wins and two draws in their last five matches

Home form string is WDWWD

Querétaro has a form of DLWWD with two wins and two draws

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Guadalajara scores an average of 1.75 goals and concedes only 0.79 goals at home

Querétaro scores an average of 1.08 goals in away games

The away team concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away match

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in the database

Two wins for Guadalajara and one win for Querétaro with one draw

The last direct meeting ended in a 2-1 win for Guadalajara on January 17, 2026

关键球员

Ricardo Marín has recorded 4 goals and 2 assists this season

Santiago Sandoval scored 3 goals in his last five matches

Santiago Homenchenko leads the visitors with 4 goals and 2 assists

门将

Óscar Alexánder Whalley Guardado starts in goal for Guadalajara

Guillermo Allison guards the net for Querétaro with a season rating of 7.03

Guadalajara kept 14 clean sheets this season compared to 8 by the visitors

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf

Guadalajara has a strong record on this surface with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

The home surface record shows a goal difference of 26:6 on artificial turf

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