Liga MX
Tijuana - Atlas
09/26/2026, 03:00 AM
预期进球
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Tijuana
Atlas
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
28%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Artificial turf factor: Tijuana won 6 games on this surface, while Atlas lost both of their matches there
- Home strength vs. Away weakness: Tijuana concedes only 0.57 goals at home, while Atlas concedes 2.46 away
- Mathematical edge: The model calculates a home win probability of 47%
风险因素
- Tijuana is missing Gilberto Mora, reducing usual starting strength to 73%
- Atlas is without Duk and Arturo González, losing offensive options
- Low attacking output in recent games, averaging under 4 shots on target per team
概述
Tijuana host Atlas at the Estadio Caliente
Liga MX match on September 26, 2026, 5:00 AM
Both teams are level on 14 points, fighting to stay close to the top
近期状态
Tijuana shows mixed form with WLWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Recently recorded a 2-2 draw against Pachuca
Atlas also drew their last match and stands at WLDLD
统计数据
Tijuana averages 1.46 goals scored per game this season
The hosts' defense stands stable with 1.24 goals conceded per game
Atlas scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.58 per match
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches show an even balance
Both teams won 2 matches each, with 1 draw
The last match on March 5, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Atlas
关键球员
Alejandro Gómez impresses in defense with an average rating of 7.30
Luís André Leite Esteves is the biggest threat with 3 goals and 1 assist
Édgar Zaldívar has already contributed 2 goals and 1 assist this season
门将
Antonio Rodríguez played 8 matches in goal with a rating of 7.15
Camilo Vargas also has 8 appearances, holding a rating of 6.85
Tijuana recorded 13 clean sheets this season, while Atlas managed 10
影响因素
Tijuana recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses on artificial turf so far
Atlas lost both of their matches played on this unfamiliar surface
Tijuana's home record is extremely strong, conceding only 0.57 goals per game