Liga MX
León - Juárez
09/28/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
2.1
3.0
0.9
2:0
11%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
7%xG 分解
León
Juárez
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
63%
平局
23%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
37%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Clear form advantage for León, currently scoring 1.4 goals per match while Juárez's scoring stalls at 0.8
- Win probability of 63% for the home team according to the mathematical model
- Juárez arrives as the bottom-placed team with only one win in their last 5 matches
风险因素
- Juárez is severely weakened as José Luis Rodríguez (1 goal, 3 assists) is missing, leaving only 51% of regular goal threat available
- León's defense concedes a season average of 1.85 goals per game
- Juárez concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away match
概述
León (7th place, 14 points) host Juárez (18th place, 3 points) at the Estadio León
Liga MX match on September 28, 2026, 3:00 AM
Matchup between the upper mid-table and the bottom-placed team
近期状态
Form of León: WDLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Form of Juárez: LLLLW
León recorded 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
Juárez suffered 4 losses in their last 5 games and won only once
统计数据
León scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 1.85 goals this season
In home games, León scored 26 goals in 25 matches (average 1.04)
Juárez averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.74 goals conceded per game
Juárez scored 24 goals and conceded 36 goals in 16 away matches
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches recorded
León leads with 3 wins compared to 1 victory for Juárez
Goal difference stands at 7:5 in favor of León
The last encounter ended in a 3:1 victory for León
关键球员
Díber Cambindo is León's top threat with 3 goals this season and a 7.3 rating
Jordi Cortizo contributed 2 season goals with a rating of 7.31
For Juárez, Óscar Estupiñán stands out with 5 goals this season and 4 goals in his last 5 matches
门将
For Juárez, Sebastián Jurado starts in goal, holding a season rating of 7.11
Jurado showed strong recent form with a 7.50 rating over his last 5 matches
León's lineup features Irving Martínez in goal
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio León
The stadium averages 3 goals per game with a BTTS rate of 40%
León scored 26 goals and conceded 26 goals in 25 home games this season