Liga MX
Tigres UANL - Puebla
09/27/2026, 03:10 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
Tigres UANL
Puebla
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
29%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Defensive home advantage: Tigres concedes an average of only 0.59 goals at home, while Puebla allows 2.57 goals away on average
- Offensive activity: Puebla averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Tigres averaging 4.0
- Prediction trend: The mathematical model calculates a 39% probability for a home win with 1.38 expected goals for Tigres
风险因素
- Tigres' goal production has stalled recently at just 1.0 goal per game compared to their season average of 1.9
- Puebla's extreme away weakness with an average of 2.57 goals conceded per game on the road
概述
Tigres UANL host Puebla at the Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
Liga MX match on September 27, 2026, 3:10 AM
Tigres sit in 16th place with 7 points, while Puebla are in 9th place with 14 points
The home team is looking to climb out of the bottom of the table
近期状态
Tigres UANL carry a form of WDDDL
In their last five matches, Tigres recorded one win, three draws, and one loss
Puebla show a form of WLWLD with two wins, one draw, and two losses
Both teams registered a draw in their most recent match
统计数据
Tigres score an average of 1.79 goals and concede 1.05 goals per game this season
At home, Tigres are defensively solid, conceding only 0.59 goals on average
Puebla score an average of 1.00 goal and concede 2.00 goals per match
On the road, Puebla suffer an average of 2.57 goals conceded per game
历史交锋
Across the last four head-to-head meetings, Tigres won twice, Puebla won once, and there was one draw
Tigres scored nine goals in these matches while Puebla scored three
The last direct encounter on March 5, 2026, ended in a 3-1 victory for Puebla
关键球员
Juan Brunetta has scored three goals and provided four assists for Tigres, averaging a 7.79 rating
Fernando Gorriarán contributed one goal with an average rating of 6.97
Mathías Tomás is a key midfielder for Puebla with two goals and a 7.16 rating
Carlos Baltazar has one goal and one assist with a 7.02 rating
Not nominated: Rodrigo Aguirre (3 goals, 1 assist)
门将
Nahuel Guzmán starts in goal for Tigres with an average rating of 6.91
Daniel Gutiérrez guards Puebla's goal with an average rating of 6.93
Tigres kept ten clean sheets at home this season
Puebla managed three clean sheets in their away games
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
The venue averages 3.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches played here
Tigres benefit from a strong defensive record at home