Premier League
Newcastle United - Sunderland
03/22/2026, 12:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%2:1
9%0:1
8%xG 分解
Newcastle United
Sunderland
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
31%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: Newcastle United is a slight favorite with a 40% win probability and 1.32 predicted home goals
- Sunderland's away defensive vulnerability: Sunderland concedes an average of 2.62 goals per away game
- High-scoring venue: St. James' Park records an average of 3.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in all of the last 5 matches
风险因素
- Key players missing for Newcastle United: B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (9 goals, 4 assists) is unavailable due to a hamstring injury
- Sunderland's low offensive output: Sunderland recorded an average of only 3.4 shots on target per game
- Negative form trend for both teams: Both teams show a negative trend in their recent goal production compared to their season average
概述
Newcastle United (11th place, 42 points) host Sunderland (13th place, 40 points) at St. James' Park
Premier League match on March 22, 2026, 1:00 PM
This derby is a mid-table clash, with Newcastle looking to close the gap to the top half and Sunderland hoping to climb the table
近期状态
Newcastle United's form across all competitions is WLDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last five games, Newcastle recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last match ended in a loss (2:7 against FC Barcelona)
Sunderland shows a form of LDWLL across all competitions
In their last five games, Sunderland registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Sunderland's last two matches ended in a loss
统计数据
Newcastle United averages 1.43 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.43 goals per game
Sunderland averages 1.00 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.17 goals per game
Newcastle United kept 8 clean sheets, Sunderland kept 9 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 19 of Newcastle United's games, and in 13 of Sunderland's games
Newcastle United's home games show an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded
Sunderland's away games show an average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.62 goals conceded
St. James' Park has seen an average of 3.8 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in all 5 of these matches, and 4 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, there have been 5 encounters between Newcastle United and Sunderland
Newcastle United won 1 match, Sunderland won 3 matches, and there was 1 draw
Newcastle United scored 4 goals in these encounters, while Sunderland scored 6 goals
The last direct encounter on December 14, 2025, ended in a 0:1 victory for Sunderland
Sunderland has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head matches
关键球员
For Newcastle United, Nick Woltemade (7 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.70 rating), Anthony Gordon (5 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.91 rating), and Harvey Barnes (5 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.74 rating) are important players
For Sunderland, Granit Xhaka (1 goal, 5 assists, avg 7.13 rating), Brian Brobbey (5 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.72 rating), and Chemsdine Talbi (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.63 rating) are to be highlighted
门将
In goal for Newcastle United is Aaron Ramsdale with an average rating of 6.53
Newcastle United recorded 8 clean sheets this season
Melker Ellborg is Sunderland's goalkeeper and has an average rating of 7.07
Sunderland managed 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Newcastle's home strength is evident with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded in home games
The venue, St. James' Park, is known for its high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals per match
In the last 5 matches at St. James' Park, both teams always scored, and 80% of the games had over 2.5 goals
Both teams play on natural grass