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Liga MX

Santos Laguna - Pachuca

09/27/2026, 03:05 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Santos Laguna
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Pachuca
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SLPAC

Santos Laguna

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.27
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.06
全员可用

Pachuca

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第17位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Oussama Idrissi替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Carlos Adrián Sánchez Nava替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Elías Montiel未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

30%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

53%

否

47%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact for Santos Laguna with only 17% of typical goal-scoring contribution active on the pitch
  • Tactical strength from Pachuca who recently averaged an impressive 6.4 shots on target per match
  • Improved goal scoring form for both teams currently averaging 1.8 goals per match compared to their season averages
风险因素
  • Pachuca is missing unlisted key players Oussama Idrissi (1 goal, 2 assists), Carlos Adrián Sánchez Nava (0 goals, 2 assists), and Elías Montiel (1 goal, 1 assist)
  • Highly balanced mathematical model projecting a tight encounter with 34% home win and 36% away win probabilities
概述

Santos Laguna (17th place, 7 points) host Pachuca (11th place, 12 points) at the Estadio Nuevo Corona

Liga MX matchup on September 27, 2026, 5:05 AM

Both teams aim to carry their recent positive momentum into this fixture

近期状态

Santos Laguna is on an upward trend with two consecutive victories (Form: LDLWW)

Pachuca remains unbeaten in their last five matches (Form: DDWWD)

Santos Laguna secured 2 wins in their last 5 outings, while Pachuca earned 2 wins and 3 draws

统计数据

Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.24 goals and concedes 1.94 goals per match

Pachuca averages 1.35 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded

Santos Laguna shows much better defensive stability at home, conceding only 1.10 goals per game

历史交锋

4 direct encounters recorded between these sides

Pachuca leads the head-to-head record with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Santos Laguna and 1 draw

The latest meeting on April 12, 2026, ended in a high-scoring 4-2 win for Pachuca

关键球员

Ezequiel Bullaude is in great shape, scoring 3 goals in his last 5 appearances for the hosts

Salomón Rondón is the key attacker for Pachuca with 10 goals in 9 matches this season

Fran Villalba has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists to Santos Laguna's campaign

门将

Carlos Acevedo stars in goal for Santos Laguna with a high season rating of 7.42

Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna protects Pachuca's goal, averaging a 7.12 rating and having scored 1 goal this season

Santos Laguna has registered 6 clean sheets compared to Pachuca's 10

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.25 goals when playing at home

Pachuca averages 1.32 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded in away games

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