Premier League
Aston Villa - West Ham United
03/22/2026, 02:15 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Aston Villa
West Ham United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
27%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Aston Villa's home strength (1.31 home goals scored, 0.94 conceded) against West Ham's weak away defense (1.8 away goals conceded)
- Aston Villa's dominance in head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 0 losses in 5 games
- West Ham's improved current offensive output (1.5 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.3 goals)
风险因素
- Aston Villa faces an increased fatigue risk with only 3 days since their last match
- Both teams show a low average number of shots on target (Aston Villa 3.0, West Ham 3.2)
概述
Aston Villa (4th place, 51 points) host West Ham United (18th place, 29 points) at Villa Park. The Premier League match takes place on March 22, 2026, 3:15 PM. Aston Villa aim to solidify their European ambitions, while West Ham need crucial points in the relegation battle. The mathematical analysis identifies Aston Villa as favorites with a win probability of 48%
近期状态
Aston Villa's form across all competitions shows LLWLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Their last match was a 2-0 win against LOSC Lille. West Ham's form in all competitions is DLWDD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). They recently drew 1-1 against Manchester City. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Aston Villa scores an average of 1.31 goals at home and concedes 0.94 goals per home game. West Ham scores an average of 1.2 goals away, but concedes 1.8 goals per away game. The Villa Park statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per match. In 3 of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored. Aston Villa's goal production is currently stagnant (average 1.0 goals), while West Ham United is currently scoring more frequently (average 1.5 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa dominated with 3 wins and 2 draws. West Ham failed to win any of these games. The goal difference stands at 9:6 in favor of Aston Villa. Aston Villa won the last encounter 3:2 on December 14, 2025
关键球员
For Aston Villa, Morgan Rogers with 8 goals and 5 assists, Ollie Watkins with 8 goals and 1 assist, and John McGinn with 3 goals and 2 assists are key players. John McGinn shows a stable form trend. For West Ham, Jarrod Bowen with 8 goals and 6 assists, Mateus Fernandes with 3 goals and 3 assists, and Tomáš Souček with 4 goals stand out
门将
Emiliano Martínez of Aston Villa made 26 season appearances and kept 8 clean sheets. Mads Hermansen of West Ham United played in 10 season games and achieved 4 clean sheets
影响因素
Aston Villa shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.31 goals scored and only 0.94 goals conceded per home game. An average of 2.8 goals are scored per match at Villa Park. In 3 of 5 games at Villa Park, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 games, there were more than 2.5 goals. The surface is grass