Premier League
Manchester City - Crystal Palace
05/13/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.4
1.4
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
24%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Limited Goal Threat: Manchester City has only 52% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available, with Erling Haaland, Rayan Cherki, Jérémy Doku, and Nico O'Reilly not in the lineup
- Dominant Offense: Manchester City showed a possession-dominant playing style in their last 5 games (66% possession) with an average of 6.8 shots on target
- Form and Table Position: Manchester City is unbeaten in 5 games and sits in 2nd place, while Crystal Palace is in 15th place with inconsistent form
风险因素
- Short Recovery Time: Crystal Palace had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Defensive Vulnerability: The mathematical analysis predicts a 67% probability of both teams scoring, indicating a more open game
- Underdog Offensive Threat: The pipeline analysis sees 1.43 expected goals for Crystal Palace, posing a potential threat to the home team
概述
Manchester City (2nd place, 74 points) host Crystal Palace (15th place, 44 points) at the Etihad Stadium in a Premier League match on May 13, 2026, 8:00 PM
Manchester City is fighting for the championship and needs every point
Crystal Palace is in the middle of the table
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Manchester City's current form in all competitions: WWWDW
The team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
The last match result was a win
Crystal Palace's current form in all competitions: LWLWD
The team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
The last match result was a draw
统计数据
Manchester City averaged 2.06 goals scored per game and conceded 0.91 goals per game
Crystal Palace averaged 1.09 goals scored per game and conceded 1.26 goals per game
Manchester City kept 15 clean sheets, Crystal Palace 12 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 17 Manchester City games, and in 18 Crystal Palace games
Manchester City's home games saw an average of 2.05 goals scored per game and 0.6 goals conceded per game
Crystal Palace's away games saw an average of 1.11 goals scored per game and 1.28 goals conceded per game
The Etihad Stadium recorded an average of 3.4 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games at the Etihad Stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City dominated with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Crystal Palace and 1 draw
Manchester City scored a total of 14 goals, while Crystal Palace scored 7 goals
The last encounter ended in a 3-0 victory for Manchester City on December 14, 2025
Manchester City has been the dominant team in recent direct encounters
关键球员
For Manchester City: Phil Foden scored 7 season goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 7.25, his form is declining
Antoine Semenyo contributed 5 season goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.05, his form is declining
Matheus Nunes recorded 1 season goal and 5 assists with an average rating of 7.08, his form is stable
For Crystal Palace: Jean-Philippe Mateta has 11 season goals without assists and a rating of 6.77, his form is declining
Daniel Muñoz scored 4 season goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.02, his form is stable
Yéremy Pino contributed 2 season goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.86, his form is declining
门将
Manchester City's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma played 32 season games and had an average rating of 6.89
He kept 15 clean sheets
Crystal Palace's goalkeeper Dean Henderson played 34 season games and had an average rating of 6.82
He kept 12 clean sheets
影响因素
Manchester City has a strong home advantage, with an average of 2.05 goals scored and only 0.6 goals conceded per home game
Crystal Palace averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.28 goals conceded per away game
The Etihad Stadium is known for many goals, with an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games at the Etihad Stadium