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Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest

03/22/2026, 02:15 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Tottenham Hotspur
1.8
Total xG
4.2
Nottingham Forest
2.4
最可能的比分

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

1:3

6%

2:1

6%

2:3

6%
xG 分解
THNF

Tottenham Hotspur

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
Randal Kolo Muani替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Nottingham Forest

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+1.77
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.24
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态上升 (1.7 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.09
14%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

21%

客胜

51%

进球数

Over 1.5

93%

Under 1.5

7%

Over 2.5

78%

Under 2.5

22%

Over 3.5

60%

Under 3.5

40%

双重机会

主胜或平局

49%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

79%

双方进球

76%

24%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Nottingham Forest with a 51% probability
  • High-scoring Games at the Venue: The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium recorded an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with 100% BTTS and over 2.5 goals
  • Nottingham's Positive Form and Head-to-Head Strength: Nottingham Forest won 3 of 5 direct encounters and shows a positive form trend
风险因素
  • Nottingham Forest has only 3 days since their last match
  • Nottingham Forest scores only 0.93 goals per game on average this season
概述

Tottenham Hotspur (16th place, 30 points) host Nottingham Forest (17th place, 29 points) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Premier League match on March 22, 2026, 3:15 PM

Both teams are in the lower half of the table, fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Tottenham Hotspur's last five games show a form of LLLDW (1 Win, 1 Draw, 3 Losses)

Nottingham Forest's last five games show a form of LDLDW (1 Win, 2 Draws, 2 Losses)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Tottenham's recent form trend is stable, with a consistent 1.6 goals per game

Nottingham Forest shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.7 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)

统计数据

Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.33 goals per game and concedes 1.57 goals

At home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded

Nottingham Forest scores an average of 0.93 goals per game and concedes 1.43 goals

Away from home, they average 0.94 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game

The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has seen an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches

In these 5 matches, both teams scored, and there were always over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, Tottenham Hotspur secured 2 wins and Nottingham Forest achieved 3 wins

Tottenham Hotspur scored 6 goals, while Nottingham Forest scored 7 goals

The last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended with a 3-0 victory for Nottingham Forest

关键球员

For Tottenham Hotspur, key players include:

Richarlison (Attacker) with 9 season goals and 4 assists, with an average rating of 6.99

Cristian Romero (Defender) with 4 season goals and 1 assist, with an average rating of 7.03

Pape Matar Sarr (Midfielder) with 2 season goals and 3 assists, with an average rating of 6.85

For Nottingham Forest, notable players are:

Morgan Gibbs-White (Midfielder) with 8 season goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 6.95

Elliot Anderson (Midfielder) with 2 season goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 7.26

Callum Hudson-Odoi (Attacker) with 3 season goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 6.85

门将

Tottenham Hotspur's goalkeeper, Guglielmo Vicario, has a season average rating of 6.71 and 7 clean sheets

Nottingham Forest's goalkeeper, Matz Sels, has a season average rating of 6.70 and also 7 clean sheets

影响因素

Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.29 goals at home and concedes 1.79 goals

Nottingham Forest scores an average of 0.94 goals away and concedes 1.5 goals

The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is known for high-scoring games, averaging 4.2 goals in the last five matches

In all of these five matches, both teams scored, and there were over 2.5 goals

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