Premier League
Fulham - Burnley
03/21/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Fulham
Burnley
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
28%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Fulham with a 53% probability for a home win, expecting 1.61 goals for themselves compared to 0.89 for Burnley
- Form: Fulham's recent form of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses is better than Burnley's 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
- Matchup Advantage: Fulham's home defensive strength (1.00 goals conceded per game) meets Burnley's weak away defense (2.19 goals conceded per away game)
风险因素
- Fulham's attacking strength is limited, with only 68% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available, notably without Raúl Jiménez, Ryan Sessegnon, and Emile Smith Rowe
- Burnley shows low attacking threat with an average of 3.0 shots on target
- Burnley concedes an average of 2.19 goals per away game
概述
Fulham (11th place, 41 points) host Burnley (19th place, 20 points) at Craven Cottage for a Premier League clash on March 21, 2026, 4:00 PM
Fulham are vying for a mid-table position
Burnley are deep in the relegation battle and desperately need points
近期状态
Fulham's current form across all competitions is WWLLD
This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their last match ended in a draw
Burnley's form is LDLLD
This means 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
The visitors' last match also ended in a draw
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Fulham scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.43 goals per game this season
At home, Fulham scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.00 goals
Fulham kept a clean sheet in 6 matches, and both teams scored in 18 matches
Burnley scores an average of 1.07 goals and concedes 1.93 goals per game this season
Away from home, Burnley scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 2.19 goals
Burnley kept a clean sheet in 4 matches, and both teams scored in 17 matches
Craven Cottage sees an average of 2.2 goals per game
In 60% of the last home games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 1, Burnley won 2, and there were 2 draws
Fulham scored a total of 6 goals, while Burnley scored 9 goals
The last encounter was won by Fulham on December 13, 2025, with a score of 3:2
Burnley has been the more dominant side in recent meetings
关键球员
For Fulham, Harry Wilson stands out, contributing 9 goals and 6 assists in 28 seasonal appearances with an average rating of 7.17, although his form is currently slightly declining
Alex Iwobi, also an attacking player, scored 4 goals and 3 assists in 24 games with a rating of 6.99; his form also shows a declining trend
Rodrigo Muniz has scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 13 appearances, with an average rating of 6.68 and a rising form curve
For Burnley, Jaidon Anthony is an important attacker with 7 goals and 1 assist in 29 appearances with a rating of 6.87, and his form is rising
Zian Flemming also scored 7 goals and 1 assist in 21 games, his form is slightly declining
Hannibal, in midfield, contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in 22 games and has a sharply rising form curve
门将
Bernd Leno of Fulham made 30 seasonal appearances and kept 6 clean sheets
Martin Dúbravka of Burnley also played in 30 season games and achieved 4 clean sheets
影响因素
Fulham showed a solid performance at home with 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded per game
Burnley, however, conceded an average of 2.19 goals away from home
Craven Cottage is a venue where goals are often scored, with an average of 2.2 goals per game
The grass surface could influence the match