Premier League
Manchester United - Leeds United
04/13/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.9
1.3
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
6%2:2
6%4:1
5%xG 分解
Manchester United
Leeds United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
65%
平局
19%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
55%
Under 3.5
45%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
35%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- Mathematical Prediction: The pipeline analysis assigns Manchester United a win probability of 65%
- Offensive Strength vs. Defensive Vulnerability: Manchester United's home goal average of 1.76 meets Leeds United's away goals conceded average of 2.15
- Current Form and Tactics: Manchester United's form WWLWD and an average of 6 shots on target in the last 5 games underscore their offensive approach
风险因素
- Guest Defensive Vulnerability: Leeds United concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away game
- Historical Head-to-Head: The only direct duel between Manchester United and Leeds United ended in a 1-1 draw
- High-scoring encounter possible: The mathematical analysis predicts a 68% probability that both teams will score
概述
Manchester United (3rd place, 55 points) host Leeds United (15th place, 33 points) at Old Trafford
Premier League match on April 13, 2026, 8:00 PM
Manchester United are fighting for a Champions League spot, while Leeds United are trying to stay clear of the relegation zone
近期状态
Manchester United's form in the last 5 games across all competitions is WWLWD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw away against AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United's form in the last 5 games across all competitions is LWDDD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)
Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw away against West Ham United
Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Manchester United have scored an average of 1.81 goals and conceded 1.39 goals per game this season
At Old Trafford, their home goal average is 1.76 goals, while conceding an average of 1.0 goals
Leeds United have scored an average of 1.19 goals and conceded 1.55 goals per game this season
Away from home, their goal average is 1.15 goals, and they have conceded an average of 2.15 goals
Manchester United scores consistently (~1.8 goals per game)
Leeds United is currently scoring more frequently (1.7) than their season average (1.5)
At Old Trafford, an average of 3.2 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far
This match ended in a draw
The goal difference stands at 1:1 goals
The last encounter on January 4, 2026, ended 1-1
The recent record is even
关键球员
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes (8 goals, 16 assists, Avg. 7.76 rating) with rising form and Benjamin Sesko (9 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.79 rating) with 3 goals in the last 5 games are important
Matheus Cunha (7 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.11 rating) is another key player
Not nominated: Bryan Mbeumo (9G/3A), Diogo Dalot (1G/3A), Harry Maguire (1G/1A), Kobbie Mainoo (0G/2A)
For Leeds United, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (10 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.89 rating) and Noah Okafor (4 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.69 rating) with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games are notable
Ao Tanaka (2 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.73 rating) is also relevant with rising form
Not nominated: Lukas Nmecha (6G/1A), Anton Stach (4G/3A), Joe Rodon (2G/0A)
门将
Manchester United's goalkeeper Senne Lammens has played in 4 of the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.60
Manchester United has recorded 5 clean sheets this season, with 4 in home games
Leeds United's goalkeeper Karl Darlow has played in 3 of the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.84
Leeds United has recorded 6 clean sheets this season, with 2 in away games
影响因素
Manchester United shows a good home record with an average of 1.76 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded
At Old Trafford, the last 5 matches averaged 3.2 total goals per game
The probability of both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 60% in the last 5 home matches