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Premier League

Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa

04/12/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Nottingham Forest
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Aston Villa
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

10%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
NFAV

Nottingham Forest

排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第4位, 相差12位)
-0.16
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05

Aston Villa

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第16位, 相差12位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
Emiliano Buendía替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Jadon Sancho未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

32%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Form advantage: Aston Villa in good form with 3 consecutive wins, while Nottingham Forest's form is mixed
  • Offensive strength: Aston Villa is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.6)
  • Head-to-head: Aston Villa won 3 of the last 5 encounters, the last one on January 3, 2026, with a 3-1 score
风险因素
  • Fatigue: Nottingham Forest had only 3 days since their last match
  • Fatigue: Aston Villa had only 3 days since their last match
  • Low shots on target: Aston Villa averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Low-scoring matches: The City Ground is known for low-scoring matches with an average of 1.0 total goals per game
概述

Nottingham Forest (16th place, 32 points) host Aston Villa (4th place, 54 points) at The City Ground

Premier League match on April 12, 2026, 2:00 PM

Forest is fighting to stay in the league, while Aston Villa is competing for a Champions League spot

近期状态

Nottingham Forest's form across all competitions: L D W W D

In their last 5 matches, Forest recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

The last match ended in a draw

Aston Villa's form across all competitions: W L W W W

Aston Villa achieved 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

The team has a streak of 3 consecutive wins

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Nottingham Forest averages 1.0 goals scored per game and concedes 1.39 goals

At home, Forest scores 1.0 goals and concedes 1.46 goals per game

Aston Villa averages 1.35 goals scored per game and concedes 1.19 goals

Away from home, Villa scores 1.36 goals and concedes 1.57 goals per game

Nottingham Forest kept 8 clean sheets this season, with 4 at home

Aston Villa achieved 9 clean sheets, with 3 away

At The City Ground, the average is 1.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Forest won 2 and Aston Villa won 3

There have been no draws between the teams

Nottingham Forest scored 8 goals, Aston Villa scored 10 goals

The last encounter on January 3, 2026, was won by Aston Villa away with a 3-1 score

Aston Villa has been more dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White (9 goals, 2 assists), Callum Hudson-Odoi (3 goals, 3 assists) and Elliot Anderson (2 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.26) stand out

Morgan Gibbs-White is in stable form with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Callum Hudson-Odoi showed stable form, assisting 2 goals in his last 5 games

Elliot Anderson maintains his form with an average rating of 7.18 in the last 5 games

For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins (9 goals, 1 assist), Morgan Rogers (8 goals, 5 assists) and John McGinn (4 goals, 2 assists) are key players

Ollie Watkins is in rising form with 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Morgan Rogers shows stable form

John McGinn is in stable form with 2 goals in his last 5 games

门将

Nottingham Forest's goalkeeper, Matz Sels, played in 24 games and the team recorded 8 clean sheets

Emiliano Martínez is Aston Villa's goalkeeper, he played in 27 games and the team achieved 9 clean sheets

影响因素

Nottingham Forest shows a balanced goal difference at home with 1.0 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded

Aston Villa scores 1.36 goals and concedes 1.57 goals per away game

The City Ground is known for low-scoring matches, with an average of 1.0 goals per game

In 20% of the last matches at The City Ground, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored

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