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Premier League

Liverpool - Fulham

04/11/2026, 04:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Liverpool
1.7
Total xG
3.2
Fulham
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
LIVFUL

Liverpool

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+0.30
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.21
Hugo Ekitiké替补席 (11球, 4助攻)
Ryan Gravenberch替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Alexis Mac Allister替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Milos Kerkez替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Joe Gomez替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Fulham

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+0.38
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.14
Raúl Jiménez替补席 (9球, 3助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

26%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

74%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Liverpool with 42%
  • Liverpool's solid home defense (Avg. 1.0 goals conceded) faces Fulham's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 2.08 goals conceded)
  • Liverpool has maintained the upper hand in recent head-to-head matches and was more dominant lately
风险因素
  • Liverpool had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Liverpool's goal production is stagnant with 1.2 goals recently compared to the season average of 1.9 goals
  • Fulham's goal production is stagnant with 1.3 goals recently compared to the season average of 1.5 goals
概述

Liverpool (5th place, 49 points) host Fulham (9th place, 44 points) at Anfield

The Premier League match takes place on April 11, 2026, 5:30 PM

Liverpool is fighting for European spots, while Fulham aims to hold its position in the middle of the table

近期状态

The home team Liverpool showed a form of DWLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five games

This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with the last 3 games being lost

Fulham has a form of WLLDW in their last five matches, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

The last game was won, following a draw

统计数据

Liverpool scored an average of 1.61 goals per game and conceded 1.35 goals this season

At home, the average is 1.59 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

Fulham scored an average of 1.39 goals per game and conceded 1.42 goals

Away, Fulham scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded 2.08 goals

In Liverpool's home games, over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 cases, and both teams scored in 3 out of 5 cases

Anfield averages 3.8 goals per game

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins for Liverpool, 1 win for Fulham, and 2 draws

Liverpool scored 13 goals and Fulham scored 11 goals

The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on January 4, 2026

The home team (Liverpool) has been more dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah (5 goals, 6 assists), Cody Gakpo (6 goals, 3 assists), and Florian Wirtz (2 goals, 2 assists in the last 5 games, rising form) are important players

For Fulham, Harry Wilson (10 goals, 6 assists, rising form), Alex Iwobi (4 goals, 3 assists), and Josh King (1 goal, 1 assist in the last 5 games, rising form) stand out

门将

Liverpool's goalkeeper is Giorgi Mamardashvili

The home team has achieved 4 clean sheets in home games this season

Fulham's goalkeeper Bernd Leno and his team have recorded 2 clean sheets in away games this season

影响因素

Liverpool benefits from the home advantage at Anfield, where they score an average of 1.59 goals and concede only 1.0 goals

Anfield's venue statistics show a high average of 3.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of the last 5 games and 80% ending with over 2.5 goals

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