Premier League
Chelsea - Manchester United
04/18/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.5
1.3
2:1
10%3:1
7%2:2
6%3:0
6%1:2
5%xG 分解
Chelsea
Manchester United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
22%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Favorite Role: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Chelsea with 59% probability
- Offensive Strength: Chelsea averages 1.64 goals per home game, while Manchester United concedes 1.73 goals per away game
- Tactical Superiority: Chelsea has shown dominant possession (58%) and averaged 6.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
风险因素
- Defensive absences for Manchester United: L. Martínez, H. Maguire are suspended, and M. de Ligt, P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu, and L. Yoro are also missing in defense
- Chelsea's goal deficit: Chelsea's goal production has recently decreased (averaged 1.4 goals) compared to their season average (averaged 2.1 goals)
概述
Chelsea (6th place, 48 points) host Manchester United (3rd place, 55 points) at Stamford Bridge
Premier League match on April 18, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the race for European qualification
近期状态
Chelsea's form (LLLWL) shows a weak record with only one win and four losses in the last five games
Their last match against Manchester City ended in a 0-3 defeat
Manchester United's form (WLWDL) is mixed with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games
Manchester United recently lost 1-2 to Leeds United
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Chelsea scored an average of 1.66 goals per game this season and conceded 1.28 goals
Manchester United scored an average of 1.78 goals per game and conceded 1.41 goals
In home games, Chelsea scored 1.64 goals and conceded 1.43 goals
Manchester United scored 1.73 goals away and conceded 1.73 goals as well
Stamford Bridge has seen an average of 3.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 1 out of 5 games, while over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, there has been an even record with two wins each for Chelsea and Manchester United, and one draw
The goal difference stands at 8:8 goals
The last encounter on September 20, 2025, was won by Manchester United with a score of 2-1
关键球员
For Chelsea, Enzo Fernández (8 goals, 3 assists) with stable form, Cole Palmer (9 goals, 1 assist) and Pedro Neto (5 goals, 4 assists) are the players with the highest goal threat
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes stands out with 8 goals and 17 assists, including 1 goal and 5 assists in the last five games
Benjamin Sesko scored 9 goals and 1 assist, with 2 goals in the last five games
Casemiro contributed 8 goals and 2 assists, including 2 goals in the last five games
门将
Chelsea's goalkeeper Robert Sánchez recorded 9 clean sheets in 30 season appearances
Manchester United's goalkeeper Senne Lammens achieved 5 clean sheets in 26 season appearances
影响因素
Chelsea's home advantage is reflected in 1.64 goals scored per home game
Manchester United conceded an average of 1.73 goals per away game
Stamford Bridge averages 3.2 goals per game