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Premier League

Nottingham Forest - Burnley

04/19/2026, 01:00 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Nottingham Forest
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Burnley
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
NFBUR

Nottingham Forest

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.07
Dan Ndoye未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Burnley

防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.83
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.44
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
Lyle Foster替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Hannibal未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

25%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

75%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 58% probability
  • Nottingham Forest is unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws), while Burnley lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Burnley concedes an average of 2.24 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Nottingham Forest had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Burnley's offense averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Burnley concedes an average of 2.24 goals per away game
概述

Nottingham Forest (16th place, 33 points) hosts Burnley (19th place, 20 points) at The City Ground

Premier League match on April 19, 2026, 2:00 PM

The hosts aim to move away from the relegation zone, while the visitors desperately need points in the fight for survival

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Nottingham Forest shows strong form with WWDDW in their last five matches across all competitions

This includes 3 wins and 2 draws, with no losses

Their last result was a 1-0 win against Porto

Burnley, on the other hand, is going through a difficult period with LLDLL in their last five games

The team recorded 4 losses and 1 draw during this period, with no wins

Their last match ended in a 0-2 loss against Brighton & Hove Albion

统计数据

Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceded 1.38 goals per game this season

At home, the team scores an average of 1.00 goals and concedes 1.43 goals

Burnley scored an average of 1.03 goals per game and conceded 1.97 goals per game

Away, their goal average is 1.06 goals scored and 2.24 goals conceded

Nottingham Forest kept 8 clean sheets this season, Burnley 4 clean sheets

In the last 5 games at The City Ground, an average of 1.4 goals were scored per match

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Forest has 1 win and there have been 2 draws

Burnley has not managed to win any of the direct encounters so far

Nottingham Forest scored 4 goals in these meetings, while Burnley scored 3 goals

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on September 20, 2025

关键球员

Morgan Gibbs-White is a key player for Nottingham Forest with 9 goals and 2 assists in 32 season appearances

Neco Williams contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in 31 games

Omari Hutchinson added 1 goal and 3 assists in 25 matches

For Burnley, Zian Flemming is important with 8 goals and 1 assist in 23 season appearances

Jaidon Anthony scored 7 goals and 1 assist in 31 games

Lesley Ugochukwu recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in 31 appearances

门将

Nottingham Forest's goalkeeper is Matz Sels, who played in 25 games

Nottingham Forest achieved a total of 8 clean sheets this season

Burnley's goalkeeper Martin Dúbravka was between the posts in 32 games

Burnley kept a total of 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Nottingham Forest shows an average home performance of 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded per game

Burnley concedes an average of 2.24 goals per away game

The grass pitch at The City Ground is the usual surface for both teams

The last five games at The City Ground had an average of 1.4 goals per game

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