Premier League
Newcastle United - AFC Bournemouth
04/18/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
2.3
4.3
1.9
2:1
7%2:2
7%1:2
6%3:1
6%3:2
6%xG 分解
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
21%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
93%
Under 1.5
7%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
62%
Under 3.5
38%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
78%
否
22%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis favors a home win for Newcastle United with a 47% probability
- AFC Bournemouth shows more stable form with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 games, while Newcastle United has a negative form trend (3 consecutive losses)
- AFC Bournemouth is dominant in the last 5 direct encounters with 1 win and 4 draws
风险因素
- AFC Bournemouth concedes an average of 1.88 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerability
- Newcastle United's goal production recently dropped to an average of 1.2 goals, while goals conceded increased to an average of 2.4
概述
Newcastle United (14th place, 42 points) host AFC Bournemouth (11th place, 45 points) at St. James' Park. The Premier League match takes place on April 18, 2026, 4:00 PM. Both teams are aiming to finish the season in the upper half of the table and secure important points
近期状态
Newcastle United's form in the last 5 games is DWLLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). There have been 3 consecutive losses recently. Their current form is rated as negative
AFC Bournemouth's form in the last 5 games is DDDDW (1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses). They recently secured a win
AFC Bournemouth's form is stable
统计数据
Newcastle United averages 1.41 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they average 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per home game
In 21 games, both teams scored (BTTS) and 21 games ended with over 2.5 goals
AFC Bournemouth averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game
Away from home, they average 1.47 goals scored and 1.88 goals conceded per away game
For AFC Bournemouth, both teams scored in 21 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 18 matches
St. James' Park has seen an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In all 5 of these games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters, there have been 0 wins for Newcastle United, 1 win for AFC Bournemouth, and 4 draws
Newcastle United scored 7 goals in these matches, while AFC Bournemouth scored 10 goals
The last encounter on January 10, 2026, ended in a 3:3 draw
AFC Bournemouth has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head matches
关键球员
For Newcastle United, Harvey Barnes with 5 season goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, William Osula with 3 season goals and 1 goal in the last 5 games, and Anthony Elanga with 2 goals in the last 5 games are important players
For AFC Bournemouth, Eli Kroupi with 10 season goals and 2 goals in the last 5 games, Evanilson with 6 season goals, 1 season assist, and 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, and Marcus Tavernier with 5 season goals and 4 season assists are notable
门将
Aaron Ramsdale, Newcastle United's goalkeeper, kept 8 clean sheets this season
Djordje Petrovic, AFC Bournemouth's goalkeeper, recorded 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Newcastle United enjoys home advantage at St. James' Park, where they scored 29 goals and conceded 26 goals in 21 home games
AFC Bournemouth concedes an average of 1.88 goals per away game, which could indicate vulnerability
The last 5 games at St. James' Park show a high goal rate of 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 100% of these games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%