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Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur - Brighton & Hove Albion

04/18/2026, 04:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Tottenham Hotspur
1.2
Total xG
2.9
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

2:1

6%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
THB&HA

Tottenham Hotspur

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.14
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第9位, 相差9位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.10
Richarlison替补席 (9球, 4助攻)
Cristian Romero 未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Pape Matar Sarr未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Archie Gray替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Mathys Tel替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)

Brighton & Hove Albion

排名优势 (第9位 vs 第18位, 相差9位)
+0.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.00
James Milner未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

26%

客胜

50%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

74%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Brighton with a 50% away win probability
  • Current form: Brighton is in good shape with 4 wins from their last 5 games, while Tottenham suffered 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: Brighton has been more dominant in the last 5 encounters with 3 wins compared to Tottenham's 1
风险因素
  • Limited squad strength: Only 59% of Tottenham Hotspur's usual starting eleven goal threat is available
  • Home defensive weakness: Tottenham Hotspur concedes an average of 2.00 goals per home game
  • Key player suspended: Brighton & Hove Albion is missing L. Dunk (Yellow Card Suspension)
概述

Tottenham Hotspur (18th place, 30 points) host Brighton & Hove Albion (9th place, 46 points) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Premier League match on April 18, 2026, 5:30 PM

Tottenham is in a relegation battle, while Brighton competes for European spots

近期状态

Tottenham Hotspur's form across all competitions: LDWLL

This means 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last 5 games

The last two results were losses

Brighton & Hove Albion's form across all competitions: WLWWW

This means 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games

Brighton won their last 3 consecutive matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Tottenham Hotspur averages 1.29 home goals scored and 2.00 home goals conceded per game

Brighton & Hove Albion averages 1.36 away goals scored and 1.43 away goals conceded per game

Tottenham kept 2 clean sheets at home, Brighton kept 5 clean sheets away

Overall, Tottenham Hotspur's matches saw 'both teams scored' 19 times and 'over 2.5 goals' 21 times

Brighton & Hove Albion's matches saw 'both teams scored' 19 times and 'over 2.5 goals' 14 times

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham Hotspur won 1, Brighton & Hove Albion won 3, and 1 match ended in a draw

Tottenham scored 9 goals, Brighton scored 14 goals in these encounters

The last match on September 20, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw

Brighton & Hove Albion has been more dominant in recent head-to-head clashes

关键球员

For Tottenham Hotspur, Xavi Simons is an important midfielder with rising form (delta 0.53) and 2 goals in 4 games

Randal Kolo Muani contributed 1 goal in 4 games

Dominic Solanke had no goal contributions in 5 games but scored 3 season goals

For Brighton & Hove Albion, Danny Welbeck is the most important attacker with 3 goals in 5 games and rising form (delta 0.53)

Mats Wieffer scored 2 goals in the last 5 games and also shows rising form (delta 0.39)

Yankuba Minteh recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games

门将

Tottenham Hotspur's goalkeeper Antonín Kinský has played in 1 season match, the team achieved 7 clean sheets overall

Brighton & Hove Albion's goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen has been in goal for 32 season matches, the team achieved 8 clean sheets overall

Bart Verbruggen shows rising form with a rating improvement of 0.37

影响因素

The match will take place at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on grass surface

Historically, the last 5 matches at this stadium averaged 4.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

Tottenham scores 1.29 goals per home game and concedes 2.00 goals

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