Premier League
Aston Villa - Sunderland
04/19/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Aston Villa
Sunderland
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
28%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 45% for Aston Villa
- Aston Villa currently scores more frequently (averaging 2.4 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals), while Sunderland's goal production is stagnant (0.8 goals)
- Aston Villa's strong home record with an average of 1.35 home goals and 0.88 home goals conceded contrasts with Sunderland's 2.2 goals conceded per away game
风险因素
- Aston Villa had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Sunderland concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game
- Lucas Digne is missing for Aston Villa, reducing the usual starting XI's assist share by 21%
概述
Aston Villa (4th place, 55 points) host Sunderland (11th place, 46 points) at Villa Park
The Premier League match takes place on April 19, 2026, at 2:00 PM
Aston Villa is fighting for European spots, while Sunderland is in the mid-table
近期状态
Aston Villa is in strong form with WWWDW in the last five games
This corresponds to 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses
The team is unbeaten in five matches
Sunderland's form in the last five games is WLLWW, with 3 wins and 2 losses
Sunderland's goal production is currently stagnant (averaging 0.8 goals) compared to their season average (1.1 goals)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Aston Villa scores an average of 1.35 goals at home and concedes 0.88 goals per game
Sunderland, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.2 goals away, while scoring 1.0 goal per away game
At Villa Park, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored in the last five matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
历史交锋
There has only been one head-to-head match between Aston Villa and Sunderland so far
This match ended in a 1-1 draw
The last encounter was on September 21, 2025
The head-to-head record is even
关键球员
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins is a key player with 9 season goals and 1 assist in 31 appearances
Watkins recently scored 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 games and shows a rising form trend
Ezri Konsa scored 2 goals in 4 of the last 5 games in 30 season appearances
Amadou Onana recorded 2 season goals in 23 appearances and 1 goal in 4 of the last 5 games
For Sunderland, Enzo Le Fée stands out with 4 season goals and 4 assists in 30 appearances
Brian Brobbey scored 6 season goals and 1 assist in 25 appearances, including 1 goal in 4 of the last 5 games
Granit Xhaka provided 1 season goal and 5 assists in 28 appearances, with 1 assist in the last 5 games
门将
Emiliano Martínez is the goalkeeper for Aston Villa and recorded 9 clean sheets this season
Robin Roefs guards the goal for Sunderland, his team achieved 10 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The pitch at Villa Park is grass
At Villa Park, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored in the last five matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
Aston Villa scores an average of 1.35 goals at home and concedes 0.88 goals
Sunderland concedes an average of 2.2 goals away