Premier League
AFC Bournemouth - Leeds United
04/22/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.7
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
5%3:0
5%xG 分解
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
21%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis favors a home win for AFC Bournemouth with a 58% probability and predicts 2.36 expected home goals
- Away Defensive Weakness: Leeds United shows significant defensive vulnerability in away matches, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per away game
- Offensive Strength: Both teams have shown strong attacking form recently, with AFC Bournemouth averaging 2.0 goals and Leeds United 2.33 goals and an average of 5.4 shots on target in recent games
风险因素
- Short Recovery Time: Both AFC Bournemouth and Leeds United have had only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Lower Shots on Target: AFC Bournemouth's average of 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games indicates fewer direct scoring opportunities
- Away Defensive: Leeds United concedes an average of 2.23 goals per away game
概述
AFC Bournemouth (9th place, 48 points) host Leeds United (15th place, 39 points) at the Vitality Stadium. This Premier League fixture takes place on April 22, 2026, 8:00 PM. AFC Bournemouth aims to consolidate its mid-table position, while Leeds United seeks to distance themselves from the relegation zone
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
AFC Bournemouth's recent form is DDDWW. They have secured 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games. Their last result was a win
Leeds United also shows strong recent form with DDDWW. They recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 matches, with their most recent result being a win
Both teams are currently on an unbeaten run of 5 games
统计数据
AFC Bournemouth averages 1.52 goals scored and 1.52 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they score an average of 1.53 goals and concede 1.13 goals
Leeds United averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.48 goals conceded per game this season. In away matches, they score an average of 1.31 goals but concede 2.23 goals
The Vitality Stadium has seen an average of 2.6 total goals per game in its last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games (80%), while 2 out of 5 games (40%) had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
Historically, these two teams have met only once in direct duels. That match, played on September 27, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw
Both teams scored 2 goals each in this single encounter
关键球员
For AFC Bournemouth, Eli Kroupi has scored 10 goals this season and has 2 goals in his last 5 games. Marcus Tavernier contributed 6 goals and 4 assists this season, showing a rising form trend. Alex Scott, with 3 goals and 1 assist, is also in rising form
On Leeds United's side, Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads with 11 goals and 1 assist this season. Noah Okafor has 7 goals and 1 assist, displaying a strong rising form trend with 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 4 games. Brenden Aaronson has provided 4 goals and 5 assists this season, with 2 assists in his last 4 games
门将
AFC Bournemouth's goalkeeper Djordje Petrovic has achieved 9 clean sheets this season
For Leeds United, Karl Darlow has recorded 2 clean sheets in 13 away appearances this season
影响因素
AFC Bournemouth benefits from playing at home, scoring an average of 1.53 goals and conceding 1.13 goals in home matches. In contrast, Leeds United's away defense concedes an average of 2.23 goals per away game. The Vitality Stadium typically sees 2.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches. The pitch surface is grass