Premier League
Fulham - Aston Villa
04/25/2026, 11:30 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.5
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
Fulham
Aston Villa
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
30%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Mathematical analysis suggests a tight game with only a 36% home win probability, 30% for a draw, and 34% for an away win
- Current form: Aston Villa is in top form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, while Fulham managed only one win in the same period
- Head-to-head: Aston Villa has won all of the last five encounters against Fulham and has been very dominant in these matches
风险因素
- Fulham's goal production is currently stalling at an average of 1.0 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.4
- Aston Villa conceded 3 goals in their last match, indicating potential defensive vulnerability
概述
Fulham (12th place, 45 points) host Aston Villa (4th place, 58 points) at Craven Cottage. Premier League match on April 25, 2026, 12:30 PM. Aston Villa is battling for international places, while Fulham is in the middle of the table.
近期状态
Fulham's form across all competitions shows L D W L D (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches, with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their last result was a draw.
Aston Villa is in excellent shape with W W D W W in their last five matches, which includes four wins and one draw. Aston Villa has achieved two consecutive wins.
统计数据
Fulham averages 1.30 goals scored per game and concedes 1.39 goals per game this season. In home games, the average is 1.29 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded. Fulham kept 7 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 19 matches, and 18 matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
Aston Villa scores an average of 1.42 goals per game and concedes 1.24 goals. Away from home, Aston Villa scores an average of 1.43 goals and concedes 1.64 goals. Aston Villa has achieved 9 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 18 matches, and 16 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Analysis of Craven Cottage shows an average of 2.4 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches, and 3 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In the last five direct encounters in the Premier League, Aston Villa won all five matches. Fulham lost all encounters.
Aston Villa scored a total of 12 goals, while Fulham managed 4 goals.
The last meeting on September 28, 2025, ended with a 3-1 away victory for Aston Villa. Aston Villa has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches.
关键球员
For Fulham, Harry Wilson (10 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.16 rating), Raúl Jiménez (9 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 6.93 rating) and Samuel Chukwueze (3 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 6.90 rating) are key players.
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins (11 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.87 rating), Morgan Rogers (9 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 6.93 rating) and John McGinn (4 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 6.86 rating) stand out.
门将
Fulham's goalkeeper, Bernd Leno, made 33 appearances this season and achieved 7 clean sheets with an average rating of 6.76.
For Aston Villa, Emiliano Martínez was in goal for 28 matches, recording 9 clean sheets and an average rating of 6.93.
影响因素
Fulham averages 1.29 home goals scored and 0.90 home goals conceded at Craven Cottage. Aston Villa scores 1.43 goals away and concedes 1.64 goals.
Craven Cottage has seen an average of 2.4 total goals in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 60% of the matches, and 60% of the matches ended with over 2.5 goals.