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Premier League

Liverpool - Crystal Palace

04/25/2026, 02:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Liverpool
1.9
Total xG
3.1
Crystal Palace
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%
xG 分解
LIVCP

Liverpool

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+0.54
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.32
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.18
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第13位, 相差8位)
+0.07
Hugo Ekitiké未进大名单 (11球, 4助攻)
Ryan Gravenberch替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Milos Kerkez替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Jeremie Frimpong替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Crystal Palace

状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第5位, 相差8位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Jørgen Strand Larsen替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Yéremy Pino替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

25%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

75%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Favorite Role: The mathematical analysis shows a 55% probability of a home win for Liverpool
  • Form Trend: Crystal Palace is currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average (1.5), while Liverpool's goal production is stagnant at 0.8 goals (season average 1.9)
  • Home Advantage: Liverpool has a stable home defense (0.94 goals conceded per home game) at a venue that sees an average of 3.4 goals per game
风险因素
  • Head-to-Head Record: The head-to-head record is even with 2 wins for each team and 1 draw
  • Stagnant Goal Production: Liverpool's goal production has recently dropped to 0.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.9 goals per game
  • Opponent's Rising Offensive Power: Crystal Palace is currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average (1.5)
概述

Liverpool (5th place, 55 points) host Crystal Palace (13th place, 43 points) at Anfield. The Premier League match takes place on April 25, 2026, 3:00 PM. Liverpool are fighting for the top spots, while Crystal Palace are positioned in the mid-table

近期状态

Liverpool shows mixed form with LLWLW in all competitions, equating to 2 wins and 3 losses. Goal production has been stagnant recently with an average of 0.8 goals per game, compared to the season average of 1.9 goals per game. Crystal Palace, however, displays better current form with WWWLD, consisting of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Crystal Palace is currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.5 goals per game

统计数据

Liverpool scores an average of 1.64 goals per game and concedes 1.3 goals per game this season. At home, they score 1.61 goals and concede 0.94 goals per home game. They kept 10 clean sheets in total this season. Crystal Palace scores an average of 1.09 goals per game and concedes 1.13 goals per game. Away from home, they score 1.12 goals and concede 1.0 goals per away game. They recorded 12 clean sheets in total this season. At Anfield, the last 5 games averaged 3.4 goals per match, with both teams scoring in 2 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals scored in 2 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Liverpool, 2 wins for Crystal Palace, and 1 draw. The goal difference is even at 5:5 goals. The last encounter was won by Crystal Palace on September 27, 2025, with a score of 2:1. The head-to-head record is considered even

关键球员

For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah with 7 goals and 6 assists at a season rating of 6.88, and Cody Gakpo with 6 goals and 5 assists at a rating of 7.14, are key attacking players. Dominik Szoboszlai contributed 5 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.36, but his form is declining. For Crystal Palace, Jean-Philippe Mateta is the top scorer with 10 goals and has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games. Ismaïla Sarr contributed 7 goals and 1 assist. Tyrick Mitchell showed rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games

门将

Freddie Woodman is listed in the current Liverpool squad as goalkeeper. Liverpool achieved 5 clean sheets in home games this season. For Crystal Palace, Dean Henderson is expected in goal, having made 31 appearances this season and holding an average rating of 6.86. Crystal Palace achieved 5 clean sheets in away games this season

影响因素

Liverpool benefits from a stable home defense with an average of 0.94 goals conceded per home game. Anfield stadium has seen an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In 40% of the last home games, both teams scored, and in 40% of the games, over 2.5 goals were scored. Crystal Palace scores an average of 1.12 goals away from home and concedes 1.0 goals per away game. The surface is grass

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