Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea
04/21/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
13%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
28%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Tight Prediction: The model predicts a slight favorite role for Chelsea with 37%, while Brighton stands at 35%
- Brighton's Form Advantage: Brighton shows significantly stronger form with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games compared to Chelsea
- Head-to-Head Record: Brighton won 3 of the last 5 direct encounters against Chelsea, including the last home match
风险因素
- Short Recovery Time: Brighton has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Short Recovery Time: Chelsea has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Limited Goal Threat Chelsea: Only 69% of the usual starting eleven goal threat is available, as key players like João Pedro and Cole Palmer are not nominated
概述
Brighton & Hove Albion (9th place, 47 points) host Chelsea (6th place, 48 points) at The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League match on April 21, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are in the mid-table, with Chelsea slightly ahead of Brighton
近期状态
Brighton is showing good form with 'LWWWD' (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) in their last five games
Their last match ended in a draw
Chelsea, on the other hand, is in a more difficult phase with 'LLWLL' (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses) and lost their last two games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Brighton has scored an average of 1.36 goals per game this season and conceded 1.18 goals
Chelsea showed stronger offense with an average of 1.61 goals per game, but also conceded 1.27 goals
At home, Brighton scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded 0.94 goals
Chelsea scored an average of 1.58 goals and conceded 1.11 goals away
The American Express Community Stadium has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game
In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton recorded 3 wins and Chelsea 2 wins
Brighton scored a total of 11 goals, while Chelsea scored 8 goals
The last encounter was won by Brighton at home with a 3:1 score on September 27, 2025
Brighton has shown dominance in recent direct encounters
关键球员
For Brighton, Pascal Groß is a key player with a season average rating of 7.24 and 3 assists in his last 5 games, Mats Wieffer has 2 goals in his last 5 games and a rising form trend, and Kaoru Mitoma scored 2 goals in his last 5 games
Not nominated: Danny Welbeck (12 goals/0 assists) and Diego Gómez (5 goals/1 assist)
For Chelsea, Enzo Fernández is important with 8 season goals and 3 assists, Pedro Neto with 5 season goals and 4 assists, and Moisés Caicedo with a season average rating of 7.07
门将
Brighton will start with Bart Verbruggen, who has 8 clean sheets this season
Chelsea's goalkeeper is Robert Sánchez, who has recorded 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Brighton's home goals average of 1.33 and 0.94 goals conceded per home game indicate a solid home record
Chelsea's away record shows an average of 1.58 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded per away game
The American Express Community Stadium has averaged 2.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 60% of games, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals