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Premier League

Burnley - Manchester City

04/22/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Burnley
1.0
Total xG
3.4
Manchester City
2.4
最可能的比分

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

1:1

9%

0:3

8%

1:3

8%
xG 分解
BURMC

Burnley

防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.61
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.21
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第2位, 相差17位)
-0.17
Lyle Foster替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Lesley Ugochukwu替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Hannibal未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Florentino替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Manchester City

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+1.47
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.23
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第19位, 相差17位)
+0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.01
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

13%

平局

19%

客胜

68%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

32%

客胜或平局

87%

非平局

81%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Clear performance gap: Man City (2nd place) faces relegation candidate Burnley (19th place)
  • Form difference: Man City with three consecutive wins, while Burnley suffered three losses
  • Historical dominance: Man City won all 3 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 11:2
风险因素
  • Limited recovery: Both teams had only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Burnley's low attacking threat: Averaging only 3.4 shots on target in the last 5 games
概述

Burnley (19th place, 20 points) host Manchester City (2nd place, 67 points) at Turf Moor

Premier League match on April 22, 2026, 8:00 PM

Manchester City are vying for the championship, while Burnley are fighting against relegation

近期状态

Burnley showed poor form in their last five Premier League games with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses (LDLLL)

Manchester City, on the other hand, presented good form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (DLWWW)

Burnley recently suffered three consecutive losses

Manchester City secured three consecutive wins

统计数据

Burnley averages 1.03 goals scored and 2.03 goals conceded per game this season

At home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded per game

Manchester City averages 2.03 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Manchester City scores an average of 2.08 goals and concedes 1.31 goals

Turf Moor has seen an average of 2.8 total goals per game in the last five matches

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Burnley has not secured any wins

Manchester City won all 3 encounters

The goal difference of 11:2 clearly favors Manchester City

The last meeting ended 5:1 for Manchester City on September 27, 2025

Manchester City dominated recent encounters

关键球员

For Burnley, Zian Flemming stands out with 9 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 3 goals in his last 5 games

Jaidon Anthony recorded 7 season goals and 1 assist but remained goalless in the last 5 matches

Quilindschy Hartman contributed 5 season assists, with 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland leads with 23 goals and 7 assists, scoring 5 goals in his last 5 games

Rayan Cherki provided 4 season goals and 10 assists, showing rising form with 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Nico O'Reilly scored 5 season goals and 3 assists, contributing with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games to a rising form

门将

Burnley's goalkeeper Martin Dúbravka kept 4 clean sheets this season

Manchester City's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma recorded 13 clean sheets

影响因素

Burnley scores an average of 1.0 goals at home and concedes 1.67 goals

Manchester City scores an average of 2.08 goals away and concedes 1.31 goals

The last five games at Turf Moor showed an average of 2.8 goals per game

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