Premier League
Manchester United - Brentford
04/27/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.8
1.8
2:1
8%1:2
7%2:2
7%3:1
5%3:2
5%xG 分解
Manchester United
Brentford
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
23%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
73%
Under 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
52%
Under 3.5
48%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
73%
否
27%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a relatively low home win probability of 41% for Manchester United
- Brentford is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.7)
- Manchester United averaged 5.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating offensive strength
风险因素
- The low home win probability of 41% for Manchester United according to mathematical analysis suggests a tight contest
- Brentford shows five consecutive draws in their current form (DDDDD)
- Limited data available for total duels won in the last 5 games for both teams
概述
Manchester United (4th place, 58 points) host Brentford (9th place, 48 points) at Old Trafford
The Premier League match takes place on April 27, 2026, 9:00 PM
Manchester United are battling for a European spot, while Brentford aim for a mid-table position
近期状态
Manchester United's form across all competitions is LWDLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This represents 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games
Their last result was a 1-0 away win against Chelsea
Manchester United's form trend is described as stable
Brentford's form across all competitions is DDDDD
This is 0 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses in their last five games
Their last result was a 0-0 home draw against Fulham
Brentford's recent form trend is rated as positive
统计数据
Manchester United scores an average of 1.76 goals per game and concedes 1.36 goals per game
The team kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 24 games
In home games, Manchester United averages 1.72 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded
Brentford scores an average of 1.45 goals per game and concedes 1.33 goals per game
The team kept 9 clean sheets and both teams scored in 17 games
In away games, Brentford averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded
At Old Trafford, the average is 3.4 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches (80%)
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches (80%)
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester United secured 2 wins, Brentford also 2 wins, and there was 1 draw
Manchester United scored 9 goals in total, while Brentford scored 10 goals
The last encounter on September 27, 2025, ended in a 3-1 victory for Brentford
The recent direct match record is even
关键球员
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes is a key player with 8 goals and 18 assists this season
His average rating is 7.76, and in the last 5 games, he scored 1 goal and provided 4 assists
Casemiro has 8 goals and 2 assists this season, with an average rating of 7.13
Benjamin Sesko contributed 9 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 6.79
For Brentford, Igor Thiago is the top scorer with 21 goals and 1 assist this season
He has an average rating of 7.13 and scored 3 goals in his last 5 games
Kevin Schade has 7 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 6.87
Dango Ouattara contributed 5 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 6.84
门将
Manchester United's goalkeeper, Senne Lammens, made 27 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.72
The team kept 6 clean sheets this season
Brentford's goalkeeper Caoimhín Kelleher made 32 appearances and achieved an average rating of 6.87
Brentford recorded 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Manchester United shows solid performance at home with an average of 1.72 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per game
Old Trafford is known for tending to have many goals, with an average of 3.4 goals per game