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Premier League

Arsenal - Fulham

05/02/2026, 04:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Arsenal
1.8
Total xG
2.7
Fulham
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
ARSFUL

Arsenal

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.75
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.41
状态下滑 (1 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.34
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.27
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
+0.08
Martin Ødegaard未进大名单 (1球, 5助攻)
Martín Zubimendi替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Gabriel Martinelli替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Piero Hincapié替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Noni Madueke替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Kai Havertz未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Fulham

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第1位, 相差9位)
-0.09
Alex Iwobi未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Josh King替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Rodrigo Muniz替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

26%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

74%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis projects a home win for Arsenal with a 56% probability
  • Arsenal's strong home defense (avg. 0.55 goals conceded) faces Fulham's vulnerable away defense (avg. 2.25 goals conceded)
  • Arsenal's positive home record in head-to-head matches, including their last 1:0 home victory
风险因素
  • Arsenal has only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Arsenal's goal production has recently stalled (avg. 1.0 goals), while their season average is 2.2 goals
  • Fulham scores consistently (avg. 1.4 goals per game), which could pose a challenge to Arsenal's defense
概述

Arsenal (1st place, 73 points) host Fulham (10th place, 48 points) at the Emirates Stadium

Premier League match on May 2, 2026, 5:30 PM

The Gunners are fighting at the top of the table for the championship

Fulham is in the mid-table

近期状态

Arsenal's form across all competitions is LDLWD

This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last five games

Arsenal's goal production has recently stalled (1.0 goals), with a season average of 2.2 goals

Fulham's form across all competitions is DWLDW

This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five games

Fulham consistently scores (avg. 1.4 goals per game)

统计数据

Arsenal scores an average of 1.88 goals and concedes 0.76 goals per game this season

In home games, Arsenal averages 1.85 goals scored and concedes only 0.55 goals

Fulham scores an average of 1.29 goals and concedes 1.35 goals per game this season

In away games, Fulham averages 1.33 goals scored and concedes 2.25 goals

At the Emirates Stadium, an average of 1.6 goals were scored in the last 5 games

In these games, both teams scored in 1 out of 5 matches, and there was 1 out of 5 Over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal secured 2 wins

Fulham won 1 game, and 2 matches ended in a draw

The goal difference is 7:6 in favor of Arsenal

Arsenal won the last encounter on October 18, 2025, with a 1:0 score

Arsenal has shown dominance in recent direct duels

关键球员

Arsenal's attack is led by Viktor Gyökeres, who scored 12 goals this season and contributed 2 goals in the last 5 games

Midfielder Eberechi Eze scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and has 7 season goals

Declan Rice contributed 4 goals and 5 assists this season

For Fulham, Harry Wilson is the top scorer with 10 goals and 6 assists this season, and recently scored 1 goal in 5 games

Raúl Jiménez scored 9 times and provided 3 assists this season

Samuel Chukwueze recorded 3 goals and 4 assists this season

门将

David Raya is in goal for Arsenal, achieving 16 clean sheets this season

Fulham's goalkeeper Bernd Leno managed to finish 8 games without conceding a goal this season

影响因素

Arsenal shows a strong home defense, conceding an average of 0.55 goals

Fulham is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game

At the Emirates Stadium, an average of 1.6 goals were scored per game in the last 5 matches

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