Premier League
Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion
05/02/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.6
2.2
1:2
9%2:2
7%1:3
7%2:1
6%2:3
5%xG 分解
Newcastle United
Brighton & Hove Albion
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
24%
平局
23%
客胜
53%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
49%
Under 3.5
51%
双重机会
主胜或平局
47%
客胜或平局
76%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Brighton with a 53% probability, with a 76% chance for an away win or draw
- Brighton's current form is positive with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games, whereas Newcastle United has lost all of their last 5 matches
- Brighton is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.5), while Newcastle United's goal production is stagnant (1.0) compared to their season average (1.8)
风险因素
- Newcastle United averaged only 3.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating a limited offensive threat
- The historical record shows Brighton secured 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 head-to-head matches against Newcastle United, suggesting away dominance
概述
Newcastle United (15th place, 42 points) host Brighton & Hove Albion (6th place, 50 points) at St. James' Park
Premier League match on May 2, 2026, 3:00 PM
Brighton is fighting for European spots, while Newcastle is in the mid-table
近期状态
Newcastle United's current form across all competitions is LLLLL
This includes 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses
The form trend is negative
Newcastle's last 5 matches ended in a loss (0-1 against Arsenal), a loss (1-2 against AFC Bournemouth), a loss (1-2 against Crystal Palace), a loss (1-2 against Sunderland), and a loss (2-7 against FC Barcelona)
Brighton & Hove Albion's current form across all competitions is WWWDW
This includes 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses
The form trend is positive
Brighton's last 5 matches ended in a win (3-0 against Chelsea), a draw (2-2 against Tottenham Hotspur), a win (2-0 against Burnley), a win (2-1 against Liverpool), and a win (1-0 against Sunderland)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Newcastle United scored an average of 1.35 goals per game this season and conceded 1.47 goals
In home games, Newcastle scored 1.36 goals and conceded 1.27 goals
The team recorded 8 clean sheets and had both teams score in 22 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 22 matches
Brighton & Hove Albion scored an average of 1.41 goals per game this season and conceded 1.15 goals
In away games, Brighton scored 1.40 goals and conceded 1.47 goals
The team recorded 9 clean sheets and had both teams score in 20 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches
St. James' Park saw an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle United recorded 0 wins, Brighton & Hove Albion recorded 3 wins, and there were 2 draws
Newcastle scored 4 goals, while Brighton scored 7 goals
The last direct encounter on October 18, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton is noted as the recently dominant team in head-to-head fixtures
关键球员
For Newcastle United, Bruno Guimarães is a key player with 9 season goals and 4 assists, maintaining stable form
William Osula showed stable form with 2 goals in the last 5 games, having scored a total of 4 goals this season
Lewis Miley contributed 1 goal and 4 assists this season, with a slightly declining form trend
For Brighton & Hove Albion, Danny Welbeck is in rising form with 13 season goals and 3 goals in the last 5 matches
Pascal Groß is an important midfielder with 1 season goal and 3 assists, including 3 in the last 5 games, showing stable form
Kaoru Mitoma scored 3 season goals, with 2 in the last 5 matches, and is showing rising form
门将
Nick Pope of Newcastle United played 23 season matches, with Newcastle keeping 8 clean sheets
Bart Verbruggen of Brighton & Hove Albion played 34 season matches, with Brighton keeping 9 clean sheets
影响因素
St. James' Park has shown a high average of 3.0 goals per game in recent matches
Both teams scored in all 5 matches at St. James' Park, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches
Newcastle United scores an average of 1.36 goals per home game and concedes 1.27 goals
Brighton & Hove Albion scores an average of 1.40 goals per away game and concedes 1.47 goals