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Premier League

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland

05/02/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0.8
Total xG
2.3
Sunderland
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

13%

0:0

11%

0:2

11%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
WWSUN

Wolverhampton Wanderers

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-0.77
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.39
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第12位, 相差8位)
-0.07
Ladislav Krejci未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Sunderland

排名优势 (第12位 vs 第20位, 相差8位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
Habib Diarra替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

20%

平局

30%

客胜

51%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

49%

客胜或平局

80%

非平局

70%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Sunderland with a probability of 51%
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers show a negative form trend with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Sunderland's recent tactical performance includes an average of 4.8 shots on target per game, compared to Wolverhampton's 2.8
风险因素
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers' home scoring is notably low, with an average of only 0.71 goals per home game this season
  • Sunderland's defense shows vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match
  • Sunderland's recent defensive form has declined, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded in their last 5 matches, higher than their season average of 1.38
概述

Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 17 points) host Sunderland (12th place, 46 points) at Molineux Stadium

Premier League match on May 2, 2026, 4:00 PM

The Wolves are at the bottom of the table, fighting against relegation, while Sunderland occupies a comfortable mid-table position

近期状态

Wolverhampton Wanderers' form in their last 5 games is L-D-L-L-L (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)

They recently lost 0-1 against Tottenham and 0-3 against Leeds United

Wolverhampton Wanderers' goal production has recently stalled at 0.6 goals per game, with a season average of 0.9 goals

Sunderland shows a form of L-W-W-L-L in their last 5 games (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)

They lost 0-5 against Nottingham Forest and 3-4 against Aston Villa, but won 1-0 against Tottenham Hotspur and 2-1 against Newcastle United

Sunderland's goal production is stable recently with 1.2 goals per game, compared to a season average of 1.1 goals

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Wolverhampton Wanderers score an average of 0.71 goals per game and concede 1.82 goals per game

They kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 14 matches

At home, the Wolves score an average of 0.71 goals and concede 1.33 goals

Sunderland score an average of 1.06 goals per game and concede 1.32 goals per game

They kept 10 clean sheets and both teams scored in 15 matches

Away from home, Sunderland score an average of 1.08 goals and concede 2.17 goals

Molineux Stadium averages 2.8 total goals per game

In 60% of the last 5 games at Molineux Stadium, both teams scored, and in 60% there were over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There has only been one direct encounter between these two teams so far

Sunderland won this away match 2-0 on October 18, 2025

The recent head-to-head record is dominated by Sunderland

关键球员

For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Tolu Arokodare (3 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.68, stable form), Adam Armstrong (1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 6.67, stable form), and Santiago Bueno (2 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.75, declining form) are important players

For Sunderland, Enzo Le Fée (4 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 6.93, rising form), Granit Xhaka (1 goal, 5 assists, avg rating 7.10, stable form), and Brian Brobbey (6 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.68, declining form) stand out

门将

Daniel Bentley is available for Wolverhampton Wanderers, having made 1 season appearance with an average rating of 6.42

For Sunderland, Robin Roefs guards the goal, achieving an average rating of 6.95 in 31 season appearances

Wolverhampton Wanderers has recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Sunderland has kept a clean sheet 10 times

影响因素

Wolverhampton Wanderers' home strength is reflected in an average of 0.71 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per home game

Sunderland score an average of 1.08 goals away and concede 2.17 goals

Molineux Stadium records an average of 2.8 goals per game

In the last 5 games at Molineux Stadium, both teams scored in 3 matches and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches

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