🇪🇺

Europa League

St. Gallen - Benfica

07/23/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
St. Gallen
0.9
Total xG
1.6
Benfica
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

21%

1:0

17%

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
SGBEN

St. Gallen

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.22
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.91
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.06
全员可用

Benfica

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-2.31
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.55倍)
+2.08
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.18
防守不足 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
-0.03
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.2球)
-0.33
-0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

38%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

50%

Under 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

22%

Under 2.5

78%

Over 3.5

8%

Under 3.5

92%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

62%

双方进球

32%

68%

关键因素
  • Benfica is currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (2.0)
  • Both teams averaged strong offensive outputs in recent games with 6.0 (St. Gallen) and 6.4 (Benfica) shots on target
  • St. Gallen averages 1.94 goals at home, but faces a highly stable Benfica defense conceding just 0.8 goals per away match
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head matches and player form statistics
  • St. Gallen concedes 1.35 goals on average at home, presenting a risk against Benfica's dangerous away attack averaging 2.2 goals
  • St. Gallen's recent goal scoring has slowed down (1.6) compared to their season average of 2.0
概述

St. Gallen host Benfica at Kybunpark

Europa League match on July 23, 2026, 8:00 PM

Mathematical model estimates St. Gallen win probability at 38%

The draw is at 38% while a Benfica away win stands at 24%

近期状态

St. Gallen's recent form is WLWWD with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Advanced stats show St. Gallen's scoring has slowed down to 1.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.0

Benfica's form is WWDDW with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses

The visitors are currently scoring more frequently with 2.6 goals on average compared to their season average of 2.0

Form-Codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

St. Gallen averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded this season

In home matches St. Gallen's average rises to 1.94 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded

Benfica averages 2.18 goals scored and only 0.74 goals conceded per game

Away from home Benfica shows a strong record of 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded

门将

Lawrence Ati Zigi starts in goal for St. Gallen with 8 clean sheets this season

Anatoliy Trubin guards Benfica's goal with 14 clean sheets recorded so far

St. Gallen secured 6 clean sheets at home while Benfica achieved 7 on their travels

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Kybunpark

Stadium history shows an average of 3.0 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate

St. Gallen averages 1.94 goals at home supporting their home advantage

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。