Premier League
Newcastle United - Liverpool
08/23/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.7
2.4
1:2
9%1:3
7%2:2
6%0:3
5%2:1
5%xG 分解
Newcastle United
Liverpool
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
20%
平局
21%
客胜
59%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
41%
客胜或平局
80%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Liverpool with a 59% probability
- Liverpool dominated previous encounters with three victories in four matches and a 12:6 goal difference
- Liverpool recently scored consistently with around 1.8 goals per match and averaged 4.8 shots on target
风险因素
- Bruno Guimarães, Nick Woltemade, Jacob Ramsey, Jacob Murphy, Dan Burn, Joe Willock, and Sandro Tonali are missing from Newcastle's squad, leaving only 60% of their typical goal threat available
- Liverpool displays defensive weaknesses on the road, conceding an average of 1.94 goals per away game
- H. Ekitike is unavailable for Liverpool's attack due to an Achilles tendon rupture
概述
Newcastle United hosts Liverpool at St. James' Park
Premier League clash on August 23, 2026, 4:30 PM
Both teams start the new season level on points
The visitors enter the match as clear favorites
近期状态
Newcastle displays mixed form with a form string of LWDWL
The home side recorded two wins and two losses recently
Liverpool travels with a form string of WLDLD
The visitors recorded a draw in their last match
统计数据
Newcastle averages 1.39 goals scored per game
Liverpool boasts a stronger attack with 1.66 goals per match
Newcastle shows defensive stability at home with 1.15 goals conceded on average
Liverpool struggles defensively on the road with 1.94 goals conceded per away game
历史交锋
Liverpool dominates the historical record with three wins in four matches
Newcastle has failed to win any of these direct encounters
The last meeting ended in a clear 4-1 victory for Liverpool
Liverpool scored a total of twelve goals across these fixtures
关键球员
Cody Gakpo has been outstanding with five goals in his last five matches
Alexander Isak contributed one goal and three assists recently
Yoane Wissa is Newcastle's key threat with three goals in his last four games
门将
Lukas Hornicek is starting in goal for Newcastle
Alisson guards the net for Liverpool with a season rating of 6.81
Liverpool kept ten clean sheets this season compared to Newcastle's eight
影响因素
The home advantage at St. James' Park supports Newcastle's defense with 1.15 conceded goals on average
Venue statistics indicate a high-scoring trend with an average of 3.2 goals per match
The game will be played on natural grass