Premier League
Leeds United - Burnley
05/01/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.1
2.9
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
10%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
7%xG 分解
Leeds United
Burnley
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
66%
平局
22%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
34%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a 66% home win probability for Leeds United with expected 2.11 goals
- Current Form: Leeds United shows a positive form trend with 1.8 goals per game recently, while Burnley's goal output has dropped to 0.5 goals
- Matchup Advantage: Leeds' solid home offense (avg. 1.32 goals) meets Burnley's weak away defense (avg. 2.21 goals conceded)
风险因素
- Head-to-Head: Burnley has an unbeaten record against Leeds United in their last 3 direct encounters (2 wins, 1 draw)
- Low-Scoring Venue: The last 5 games at Elland Road showed a low average of 1.6 goals per game
概述
Leeds United (15th place, 40 points) hosts Burnley (19th place, 20 points) at Elland Road
Premier League match on May 1, 2026, 8:00 PM
Leeds aims to solidify its mid-table position
Burnley, as a relegation-threatened team, fights for survival
近期状态
Leeds United shows mixed form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from the last 5 games (DWWDL)
The last match ended in a loss
Burnley is in a crisis with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (DLLLL)
They have suffered 4 consecutive losses recently
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Leeds United scores an average of 1.29 goals per season and concedes 1.5 goals
At home, they average 1.32 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded
Burnley averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 goals conceded per season
Away, these values are 1.0 goals scored and 2.21 goals conceded
Leeds has achieved 7 clean sheets this season, Burnley 4
At Elland Road, an average of 1.6 goals were scored in the last 5 games
Both teams did not score in any of these games, while 2 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 3 direct encounters, Leeds United has not secured a win
Burnley won 2 of these matches, 1 game ended in a draw
The goal difference is 3:0 in favor of Burnley
The last meeting was a 2-0 victory for Burnley on October 18, 2025
关键球员
For Leeds United, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (11 goals, 1 assist), Noah Okafor (7 goals, 1 assist), and Anton Stach (4 goals, 3 assists) are significant
Noah Okafor shows rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Not nominated: Brenden Aaronson (4G/5A)
For Burnley, Zian Flemming (9 goals, 1 assist), Jaidon Anthony (7 goals, 1 assist), and Quilindschy Hartman (0 goals, 5 assists) are noteworthy
门将
For Leeds United, Karl Darlow is available with 18 season appearances
He kept 5 clean sheets in home games and shows rising form
For Burnley, Martin Dúbravka is in goal for 34 season appearances
Burnley kept no clean sheets in away games
影响因素
Leeds United's home strength is evident with an average of 1.32 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded per home game
Burnley, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.21 goals per away game
The last 5 games at Elland Road averaged 1.6 goals per game
Both teams did not score in any of these games