Premier League
Fulham - Chelsea
08/24/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
3.1
1.8
1:1
12%1:2
9%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Fulham
Chelsea
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
26%
客胜
47%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
53%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Massive drop in quality for Fulham: Only 38% of the usual attacking threat is available as Harry Wilson, Samuel Chukwueze, Emile Smith Rowe, Saša Lukić, and Rodrigo Muniz are missing
- Mathematical favorability for the visitors: The model predicts a 47% win probability for Chelsea with expected goals at 1.77
- Limited offensive impact: Fulham averaged only 4.0 shots on target in recent matches, while Chelsea averaged just 3.2
风险因素
- Struggling attack for both teams: Fulham currently score fewer goals (0.8) than their season average (1.3), and Chelsea also struggle with 1.0 goals compared to their average of 1.9
- Key players missing for Chelsea: Enzo Fernández, Marc Cucurella, and Moisés Caicedo are not in the squad
概述
Fulham host Chelsea at Craven Cottage
Premier League match on August 24, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams start the new season with zero points
The visitors enter this London derby as slight favorites
近期状态
Fulham's recent form shows mixed results
The hosts recorded a form of WLLDW in their last matches
Chelsea travel with a recent form of LDLWL
Both teams exhibited a negative form trend in their most recent games
统计数据
Fulham scored an average of 1.24 goals per game last season while conceding 1.34
At home, Fulham were defensively more stable, conceding only 0.83 goals per game
Chelsea scored an average of 1.53 goals per match last season and conceded 1.37
Both teams scored in 20 out of 38 games played by the home team
历史交锋
Even historical record with 2 wins each in 4 head-to-head matches
The last encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Fulham
A total of 5 goals for Fulham and 6 goals for Chelsea were scored in these 4 matches
None of the recent head-to-head matches ended in a draw
关键球员
Alex Iwobi scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists last season
Antonee Robinson brings defensive stability with an average rating of 6.87
Cole Palmer was a key player for Chelsea with 10 goals and 1 assist last season
João Pedro stood out with 15 goals and 5 assists
Not in the lineup for Chelsea: Enzo Fernández, Marc Cucurella, Moisés Caicedo
门将
Bernd Leno kept 9 clean sheets last season, 6 of which came at home
Robert Sánchez also kept 9 clean sheets last season
Both goalkeepers showed a stable form trend recently
影响因素
Craven Cottage features a natural grass pitch
An average of 1.8 goals per game were scored in recent matches at Craven Cottage
Both teams scored in only one of the last 5 matches at this venue