Premier League
Manchester City - AFC Bournemouth
08/23/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
4.3
2.3
1:2
7%2:2
7%2:1
6%1:3
6%2:3
6%xG 分解
Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
21%
客胜
46%
进球数
Over 1.5
93%
Under 1.5
7%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
61%
Under 3.5
39%
双重机会
主胜或平局
54%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
78%
否
22%
关键因素
- Model Prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates 1.95 expected home goals and 2.31 expected away goals with a 46% chance of an away win
- Squad Weakness: AFC Bournemouth is playing without Eli Kroupi, Marcos Senesi, and Tyler Adams, representing only 73% of their usual goal threat
- Tactical Averages: Manchester City recently averaged 5.2 shots on target with 59% possession, while Bournemouth averaged 4.6 shots on target
风险因素
- City's attack has stalled, averaging 1.8 goals in recent games compared to their 2.17 season average
- Defensive struggles: Bournemouth conceded an average of 1.79 goals per away game
- Bournemouth's goal production also slowed down recently, averaging 1.6 goals compared to their 1.79 season average
概述
Manchester City hosts AFC Bournemouth at the Etihad Stadium
Premier League clash on August 23, 2026, 2:00 PM
Season opener with both teams eager for their first points
近期状态
Manchester City current form is WWWDL
City registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in recent games
AFC Bournemouth enters with a stable DWWDD form
The visitors remain unbeaten in their last 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Manchester City averages 2.03 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded per game
AFC Bournemouth averages 1.53 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded per game
City at home: Avg. 2.05 goals scored and 0.64 goals conceded
Bournemouth away: Avg. 1.53 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches recorded
Manchester City has 3 wins, AFC Bournemouth has 1 win and 1 draw
Goal difference stands at 10:6 in favor of Manchester City
The last encounter on May 19, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
关键球员
Erling Haaland with 27 goals and 8 assists this season
Phil Foden contributed 7 goals and 5 assists
Antoine Semenyo registered 7 goals and 1 assist
Marcus Tavernier has 7 goals and 4 assists
Evanilson recorded 6 goals and 2 assists
Adrien Truffert added 1 goal and 6 assists
门将
Gianluigi Donnarumma has 34 appearances and kept 9 clean sheets in home games
Djordje Petrovic made 38 appearances and secured 5 clean sheets in away games
影响因素
Match played on natural grass at the Etihad Stadium
The venue sees a high average of 3.2 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals occurred in all 5 home games analyzed