🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Premier League

Leeds United - Brentford

08/30/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Leeds United
1.9
Total xG
3.3
Brentford
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
LUBRE

Leeds United

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.08
Ao Tanaka替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Brentford

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.22
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍)
+0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.04
Dango Ouattara未进大名单 (7球, 3助攻)
Mathias Jensen未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Yegor Yarmolyuk未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

25%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

75%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Tactical setup: Leeds averaged 3.6 shots on target with 45.6% possession in recent matches
  • Strong away attack: Brentford scores consistently with around 1.7 goals per game and recently averaged 4.2 shots on target
  • Home defense: Leeds conceded an average of only 0.95 goals per game at home last season
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability on the road: Brentford conceded an average of 2.07 goals per away game last season
  • Struggling attack: Leeds United's goal production is currently at only 1.2 goals on average compared to their season average of 1.5
概述

Leeds United host Brentford at Elland Road

Premier League match on August 30, 2026, 2:00 PM

Leeds occupy 10th place with 3 points

Brentford sit in 6th place with 3 points

The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 51%

近期状态

Leeds United show the form WDWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recently secured a 1-0 away win against Nottingham Forest

Brentford have a form of WLDDW

The visitors recently defeated Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 at home

统计数据

Leeds United averaged 1.29 goals scored per game last season

Their home record stands at an average of 1.32 goals scored and 0.95 conceded

Brentford averaged 1.45 goals scored per game last season

In away matches, the visitors conceded an average of 2.07 goals

The model expects an active match with 1.94 expected home goals and 1.33 expected away goals

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in the database

Both matches ended in a draw

The last meeting on March 21, 2026, ended 0-0

关键球员

Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored 14 goals this season

Anton Stach impresses with a season rating of 7.24 and 5 goals

James Justin played 29 matches and scored 2 goals

Igor Thiago scored 22 goals in 38 appearances

Kevin Schade has registered 8 goals and 3 assists

Keane Lewis-Potter has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Elland Road

The venue statistics show an average of 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in only 1 out of 5 matches at this venue

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 home matches

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。