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Premier League

Crystal Palace - Manchester City

08/28/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Crystal Palace
0.9
Total xG
3.5
Manchester City
2.5
最可能的比分

0:2

10%

1:2

9%

1:1

8%

0:3

8%

1:3

8%
xG 分解
CPMC

Crystal Palace

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-1.26
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均2.2球)
-0.83
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第2位, 相差13位)
-0.32
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.18
Jean-Philippe Mateta未进大名单 (12球, 0助攻)
Ismaïla Sarr未进大名单 (9球, 1助攻)
Daniel Muñoz替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Maxence Lacroix未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
54%进球产出缺失 (仅56%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)

Manchester City

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.27倍)
+2.10
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.18
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第15位, 相差13位)
+0.15
Bernardo Silva  未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Matheus Nunes未进大名单 (1球, 5助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

11%

平局

18%

客胜

70%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

30%

客胜或平局

89%

非平局

82%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Manchester City with a 70% probability
  • Manchester City dominated possession recently, averaging 60% possession and 4.4 shots on target
  • Crystal Palace's goal production is currently stalling, averaging 0.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
风险因素
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta, Ismaïla Sarr, Daniel Muñoz, Maxence Lacroix missing, only 56% of attacking threat available
  • Manchester City's goal production also stalled recently, averaging 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 2.2
  • Manchester City will be without attacker J. Doku due to a calf injury
概述

Crystal Palace host Manchester City at Selhurst Park

Premier League fixture on August 28, 2026, 8:00 PM

Hosts Crystal Palace sit in 16th place with 0 points

Manchester City occupy 8th place with 3 points

The visitors travel to London as clear favorites

近期状态

Crystal Palace's form is LDLWL

Their last match ended in a 0-2 defeat against Everton

Manchester City's form is WWDLW

The Citizens won their last game 2-1 against AFC Bournemouth

The away side enters with a more stable run of form

统计数据

Crystal Palace average 1.08 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per match

At home, they score 1.06 and concede 1.28 on average

Manchester City average 2.03 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game

On the road, the Citizens concede 1.31 while scoring 2.00 on average

Recent games at Selhurst Park averaged 2.6 goals per match

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City secured 3 wins

Crystal Palace won once, with one match ending in a draw

The most recent encounter ended in a clear 3-0 victory for City

The aggregate goal difference stands at 5-13 in favor of Manchester City

关键球员

Midfielder Adam Wharton stands out with a 6.97 average season rating

Daichi Kamada showed strong form with 2 goals in his last 5 matches

Erling Haaland is the top threat with 27 goals in 35 appearances for Manchester City

Phil Foden contributed 7 goals and 5 assists this season

Goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma provides stability for the visitors

门将

Dean Henderson started 37 matches in goal for Crystal Palace this season

Gianluigi Donnarumma made 34 appearances in goal for Manchester City

The away side kept 16 clean sheets, while Palace recorded 12 this season

影响因素

The match takes place on grass at Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace had 6 days of rest prior to this fixture

Manchester City had 5 days since their last match

Selhurst Park saw an average of 2.6 goals in recent home fixtures

Weather data is not available in the dataset

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