Premier League
Aston Villa - Arsenal
08/31/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Aston Villa
Arsenal
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
29%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Aston Villa is currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.7 goals)
- Aston Villa averaged 5.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
- The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 39% and a double chance (home or draw) of 69%
风险因素
- Ollie Watkins, Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans are missing, only 61% of the goal threat is available
- Arsenal's goal production is currently stalling at 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 2.1 goals
- W. Saliba is missing for Arsenal's defence due to injury
概述
Aston Villa (18th place, 0 points) host Arsenal (9th place, 3 points) at Villa Park
Premier League match on August 31, 2026, 8:00 PM
Villa seek their first points after an opening defeat
Arsenal travel with a win in their bag
近期状态
Aston Villa form: DWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Villa recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently
Arsenal form: WWWDW
Arsenal achieved 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses recently
The visitors travel undefeated
统计数据
Aston Villa scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded 1.29 goals this season
Arsenal scored an average of 1.87 goals and conceded only 0.71 goals per game
Villa Park matches historically averaged 4.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of the games at this venue
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches
Aston Villa won 1 game, Arsenal won 2 with 1 draw
The goal difference is 5 to 9 goals against Villa
The last match ended in a 4-1 win for Arsenal on December 30, 2025
关键球员
Emiliano Buendía stands out with 6 goals and a 6.84 rating
John McGinn contributed 5 goals and 4 assists so far
Ross Barkley has scored 3 goals this season
Bukayo Saka shines with 7 goals and a 7.22 rating
Declan Rice leads the midfield with a strong 7.33 rating
Martin Ødegaard has already provided 6 assists this campaign
门将
Aston Villa kept 9 clean sheets this season
David Raya guards the visitors' goal, with the team recording 19 clean sheets in total
影响因素
The grass pitch at Villa Park is in excellent condition
Home advantage is reflected in an average of 1.45 goals scored in front of their fans
Historically, matches at this stadium are high-scoring, averaging 4.8 goals