比赛报告 →
Coventry City – Hull City0 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Coventry City
1.57
总 xG
2.38
Hull City
0.82
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Coventry City | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 小样本 (0场) - 均值回归 | −0.91 | |
| 小样本 (0场) - 均值回归 | −0.79 | |
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.68 | +0.68 |
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.37倍) | +0.52 | |
| 最近5场中4场零封 | −0.15 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球) | +0.10 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球) | −0.06 | |
| 全员可用 | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Strong home rate: Coventry City score an average of 2.12 goals per game at home
- Controlled build-up: Coventry dominate possession with an average of 59% in recent matches
- Offensive trend: Coventry City currently score more frequently with 2.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 2.3
风险
- Counter-attack threat: Hull City play highly counter-oriented away with an average of just 33% possession
- Limited data available regarding player form in the provided dataset
- Strained squad depth for Hull City with a total of 4 injured or unfit players
全部概率
赛果
Coventry City54%
平局28%
Hull City18%
进球
大于 1.570%
小于 1.530%
大于 2.543%
小于 2.557%
大于 3.522%
小于 3.578%
双重机会
Coventry City或平局82%
Hull City或平局46%
非平局72%
双方均进球
是46%
否54%
最可能的比分
1:1
13%
1:0
13%
2:0
11%
0:0
11%
2:1
9%
0:1
最终比分
首发阵容
Coventry City 4-2-3-1 · Hull City 5-4-1
Coventry City
- 19 C. Rushworth
- 27 M. van Ewijk
- 4 B. Thomas
- 24 A. Amenda
- 3 J. Dasilva
- 8 C. Yirenkyi
- 6 M. Grimes
- 18 L. Tchaouna
- 5 J. Rudoni
- 10 E. Mason-Clark
- 14 T. Awoniyi
Hull City
- 19 K. Tzolakis
- 2 L. Coyle
- 6 O. Ibidapo Ajayi
- 15 J. Egan
- 32 N. Mendy
- 3 R. Giles
- 10 M. Belloumi
- 27 R. Slater
- 5 H. Morita
- 21 E. Stroud
- 9 O. McBurnie
替补
- 25 D. Bentley
- 2 E. Pinnock
- 22 J. Latibeaudiere
- 29 V. Torp Overgaard
- 7 T. Sakamoto
- 9 E. Simms
- 23 B. Thomas-Asante
- 15 L. Kitching
- 38 G. Hamer
- 50 M. Cho
- 7 L. Millar
- 18 C. Drameh
- 12 D. Phillips
- 23 M. Targett
- 29 L. Gourna Douath
- 17 P. McNair
- 22 L. Herrington
- 14 J. Hjertø-Dahl
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