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Premier League

Liverpool - Nottingham Forest

08/29/2026, 11:30 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Liverpool
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Nottingham Forest
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
LIVNF

Liverpool

排名优势 (第5位 vs 第16位, 相差11位)
+0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.08
Ryan Gravenberch替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
Rio Ngumoha替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Curtis Jones未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Nottingham Forest

排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第5位, 相差11位)
-0.24
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.19
Elliot Anderson未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
Omari Hutchinson 未进大名单 (1球, 5助攻)
Chris Wood 未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Nicolás Domínguez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

24%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

76%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win for Liverpool with a probability of 61%
  • Liverpool dominated possession recently with an average of 57.4% and managed 5.6 shots on target per match
  • Cody Gakpo is in rising form with 4 goals scored in his last 5 appearances
风险因素
  • Nottingham Forest only have 88% of their usual starting lineup strength available due to missing players like Elliot Anderson, Omari Hutchinson, Chris Wood and Nicolás Domínguez
  • Liverpool's recent defensive form shows 2.2 goals conceded per game compared to their season average of 1.40
  • Both teams are struggling to find wins, showing recent forms of LDLDD and LDLDL
概述

Anfield hosts this Premier League clash on August 29, 2026, 12:30 PM

Liverpool (11th place, 1 point) welcome Nottingham Forest (15th place, 0 points)

Both sides are looking for their first win of the season after a slow start

近期状态

Liverpool's form across all competitions is LDLDD with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

Nottingham Forest show a form curve of LDLDL consisting of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Form guide: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Liverpool scored an average of 1.66 goals per match and conceded 1.39 last season

Nottingham Forest averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded per game

At home, Liverpool scored 1.62 goals on average while Nottingham Forest scored 1.27 goals per away game

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head encounters, Nottingham Forest won 2 matches, Liverpool won 1, and 1 ended in a draw

The goal difference during these matches stands at 2:5 against Liverpool

The last meeting ended in a 1:0 victory for Liverpool

关键球员

Cody Gakpo scored 4 goals and provided 1 assist in his last 5 appearances

Dominik Szoboszlai stood out with 2 goals and 4 assists in his last 5 matches

Morgan Gibbs-White registered 15 goals and 4 assists over the course of the season

门将

Alisson features in goal for Liverpool with an average season rating of 6.81

Matz Sels played in 31 season matches for Nottingham Forest

Both keepers show reliable average ratings around the 6.80 mark

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Anfield

Venue statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per match

Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 games played at this venue

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