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Premier League

Sunderland - Fulham

08/30/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Sunderland
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Fulham
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
SUNFUL

Sunderland

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.62
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
Omar Alderete替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Fulham

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.10
Emile Smith Rowe替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Saša Lukić未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Rodrigo Muniz替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
57%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

32%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

68%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Only 53% of the goal threat is available, without Emile Smith Rowe, Saša Lukić, Rodrigo Muniz
  • Sunderland is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.2)
  • Fulham averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches with 56.6% possession
风险因素
  • Fulham conceded an average of 2.21 goals per away game last season
  • Sunderland averaged only 1.11 goals per match in the previous campaign
概述

Sunderland (15th place, 0 points) host Fulham (14th place, 0 points) at the Stadium of Light

Premier League match on August 30, 2026, 2:00 PM

The mathematical prediction estimates a 39% probability for a home win

近期状态

Sunderland shows the form DDWWL

The hosts lost their last match 1-2 against Ipswich Town

Fulham shows the form LLDWL

The visitors lost 2-3 to Chelsea in their previous match

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Sunderland scored an average of 1.11 goals per game last season

Fulham conceded an average of 2.21 goals per away match

The model expects 1.25 goals for Sunderland and 1.07 goals for Fulham

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in the database

Fulham won both direct encounters

The last match on February 22, 2026, ended in a 1-3 victory for Fulham

关键球员

Enzo Le Fée scored 5 goals and provided 6 assists this season

Brian Brobbey scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches

Alex Iwobi leads the visitors with an average rating of 7.04

门将

Robin Roefs guards the home goal with an average rating of 6.94

Bernd Leno plays for Fulham with a rating of 6.80

Sunderland achieved 11 clean sheets last season

影响因素

Sunderland is defensively stable at the Stadium of Light with only 0.87 goals conceded per home game

The match will be played on a grass surface

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