Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United
08/29/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
29%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Critical quality loss for Tottenham: Only 47% of the seasonal goal threat is active with key scorers like Richarlison, João Palhinha, and Conor Gallagher missing from the lineup
- Historical dominance of the Magpies: Newcastle United are unbeaten in their last 4 head-to-head encounters, winning 3 of them
- Tottenham's offensive form crisis: Recently, their goal production stalled at an average of just 1.0 goals per match compared to their 1.48 season average
风险因素
- Significant blow to Newcastle's attack: Only 54% of the regular threat is available with key players like Bruno Guimarães and Nick Woltemade missing
- Severe away weakness for the visitors: Newcastle United concede an average of 2.08 goals per away match this season
- Low threat despite high possession: Tottenham recently averaged only a disappointing 3.4 shots on target per match despite holding 55.2% possession
概述
Tottenham Hotspur (17th place, 0 points) host Newcastle United (10th place, 1 point) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League match on August 29, 2026, 5:30 PM
Both sides are looking for stability early in the season
近期状态
Tottenham's home form: WDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Newcastle's away form: WDWLD
Tottenham lost their last match, while Newcastle recorded a draw
统计数据
Tottenham score an average of 1.26 goals and concede 1.50 per game
Newcastle average 1.39 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded
Away from home, Newcastle concede an average of 2.08 goals per match
历史交锋
Newcastle won 3 of the last 4 direct meetings, with 1 draw
The last match ended in a 1-2 victory for Newcastle on February 10, 2026
The goals ratio in head-to-head stands at 5:8 in favor of Newcastle
关键球员
Pedro Porro stands out for Spurs with a 7.01 average rating and 2 goals in his last 5 matches
Yoane Wissa is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances for the visitors
Anthony Elanga has also been sharp, scoring 3 goals in his last 5 games
门将
Antonín Kinský features in goal for Tottenham with a 6.59 average rating
Lukas Hornicek guards the net for Newcastle United
Tottenham have kept 9 clean sheets this season compared to Newcastle's 8
影响因素
Average goals at this stadium stand at 3.0 per match
The model predicts a home win probability of 44%
An expected goal average of 1.47 is calculated for the home side