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Premier League

Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion

08/30/2026, 01:00 PM

4 : 3
预期进球
Chelsea
1.3
Total xG
3.0
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CHEB&HA

Chelsea

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.15
Enzo Fernández未进大名单 (10球, 4助攻)
Marc Cucurella未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Moisés Caicedo替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

Brighton & Hove Albion

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
+0.67
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Jack Hinshelwood未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Yasin Ayari未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
39%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

27%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

60%

否

40%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Brighton currently score more frequently (2.0 goals) compared to their season average (1.6)
  • Tactical dominance: Brighton averaged 6.0 shots on target and 67.2% possession in recent matches
  • Historical edge: Brighton won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Chelsea
风险因素
  • Fatigue: Brighton face a quick turnaround with only 3 days since their last match
  • Squad impact: Jack Hinshelwood and Yasin Ayari are missing, leaving only 65% of Brighton's goal threat active
  • Chelsea averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their recent matches
概述

Chelsea host Brighton & Hove Albion at Stamford Bridge

Match on August 30, 2026, 2:00 PM

Chelsea sit in 8th place with 3 points

Brighton occupy 5th place with 3 points

A balanced encounter early in the season

近期状态

Chelsea's form is DLWLW with a win in their last match

Brighton's form is LLDWW with two consecutive wins

Both teams recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their recent matches

统计数据

Chelsea scored 1.53 goals and conceded 1.37 on average this season

Brighton scored 1.37 goals and conceded 1.21 on average per game

Chelsea have a home goal difference of 26:25

Brighton conceded an average of 1.62 goals per away game

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches

Brighton dominant with 4 wins, while Chelsea have 1 win

The last match ended in a 3-0 victory for Brighton on April 21, 2026

关键球员

Cole Palmer shows a rising form trend with 10 goals and 1 assist this season

João Pedro scored 15 goals and provided 5 assists this season

Pedro Neto contributed 5 goals and 6 assists so far

Not nominated: Enzo Fernández (10T/4A), Marc Cucurella (1T/4A), and Moisés Caicedo (3T/1A)

门将

Emiliano Martínez is in goal for Chelsea

Bart Verbruggen guards the net for Brighton

Chelsea registered 9 clean sheets this season

Brighton kept 10 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Stamford Bridge averages 3.6 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of matches at this venue

Chelsea have home advantage based on home goals and goals conceded

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