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Premier League

Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur

09/05/2026, 02:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Nottingham Forest
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Tottenham Hotspur
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

12%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
NFTH

Nottingham Forest

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.38
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Igor Jesus替补席 (6球, 4助攻)
Elliot Anderson未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

Tottenham Hotspur

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.47
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.30
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.26
Richarlison未进大名单 (11球, 5助攻)
João Palhinha未进大名单 (5球, 2助攻)
51%进球产出缺失 (仅50%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.55
+0.55
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

31%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

69%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Nottingham Forest won all 4 head-to-head matches in the last two years with a goal record of 9:1
  • Massive squad impact for Tottenham: Without Richarlison and João Palhinha, only 51% of the usual starting threat is available
  • Model prediction advantage: The mathematical model calculates a 76% probability for a home win or draw (Home or Draw)
风险因素
  • Nottingham squad weakened: Without Igor Jesus and Elliot Anderson, only 64% of the usual goal danger is available
  • Stagnant offensive performance: Nottingham Forest's recent goal average has stalled at 1.2 goals compared to the 1.45 season average
  • Form slump for Tottenham Hotspur: The away side shows a negative form trend with only 0.6 goals scored on average recently
概述

Nottingham Forest (15th place, 1 point) host Tottenham Hotspur (19th place, 0 points) at the City Ground

Premier League match on September 5, 2026, 4:00 PM

Both teams are searching for their first win of the season

近期状态

Nottingham Forest form is DLDLD with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Liverpool

Tottenham Hotspur form is DLWLL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their last match was a 0-2 loss against Newcastle United

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Nottingham Forest average 1.26 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded

Tottenham Hotspur average 1.26 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded

Tottenham concede an average of 1.24 goals in away games

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in the last two years

Nottingham Forest dominated with 4 wins and a goal difference of 9:1

The last matchup on March 22, 2026, ended in a 3-0 home win for Nottingham Forest

关键球员

Morgan Gibbs-White has 15 goals and 4 assists with a 7.04 rating

Dan Ndoye scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with a 6.65 rating

Pedro Porro has 1 goal and a 7.01 average rating

门将

Matz Sels features in goal for Nottingham Forest with a 6.80 rating

Antonín Kinský starts for Tottenham with a 6.59 rating

Both teams have recorded 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage at the City Ground

The stadium averages 1.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games at this venue

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