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Premier League

Arsenal - Chelsea

09/06/2026, 03:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Arsenal
1.8
Total xG
2.4
Chelsea
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

15%

2:0

14%

1:1

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ARSCHE

Arsenal

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.89
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
+0.08
16%进球产出缺失 (仅94%可用)

Chelsea

排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第1位, 相差9位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.02
Enzo Fernández未进大名单 (10球, 4助攻)
Malo Gusto替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Marc Cucurella未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Moisés Caicedo未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

64%

平局

25%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

36%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

40%

否

60%

关键因素
  • Chelsea enters weakened as key players Enzo Fernández, Malo Gusto, Marc Cucurella, and Moisés Caicedo are not nominated
  • Mathematical analysis projects a home win for Arsenal with a 64% probability
  • Arsenal averaged 3.8 shots on target per game with 55% ball possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • Arsenal's goal scoring has slowed recently to 1.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 2.1
  • Chelsea averaged only 4.0 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Arsenal (3rd place, 6 points) hosts Chelsea (4th place, 6 points) at the Emirates Stadium

Premier League match on September 6, 2026, 4:30 PM

A clash of two unbeaten teams early in the season

近期状态

Arsenal shows a stable form of WWDWW with 4 wins and 1 draw

Chelsea recorded a form of LWLWW with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Arsenal scored an average of 1.87 goals per game and conceded 0.71 goals this season

Chelsea averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.37 goals conceded per match

At the Emirates Stadium, the home side recorded 11 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in history

Arsenal has 2 wins, Chelsea has 1 win and 2 draws

The last encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Arsenal

关键球员

Bukayo Saka (7 goals, 6 assists), Declan Rice (4 goals, 5 assists), and Martin Ødegaard (1 goal, 6 assists) support the hosts

Cole Palmer (10 goals, 1 assist), João Pedro (15 goals, 5 assists), and Pedro Neto (5 goals, 6 assists) lead the visitors

门将

David Raya has recorded 19 clean sheets this season

The dataset contains no clean sheet figures for Emiliano Martínez

影响因素

At the Emirates Stadium, matches averaged 1.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

In none of the last 5 home games did both teams score (0% BTTS)

The game will be played on natural grass

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