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Premier League

Sunderland - Manchester United

05/09/2026, 02:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Sunderland
1.2
Total xG
2.7
Manchester United
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SUNMU

Sunderland

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.31
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第3位, 相差9位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.09
Habib Diarra替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Manchester United

排名优势 (第3位 vs 第12位, 相差9位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.01
Bryan Mbeumo替补席 (9球, 3助攻)
Benjamin Sesko未进大名单 (11球, 1助攻)
Casemiro未进大名单 (9球, 2助攻)
Diogo Dalot替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

29%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 44% win probability for Manchester United
  • Manchester United's starting eleven is reduced to 71% of its usual strength according to analysis, with absences of Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Sesko, Casemiro, and Diogo Dalot, significantly impacting goal threat
  • Manchester United shows better form with 3 wins in their last 5 games and a significantly stronger offense (Avg. 1.80 goals/game) than Sunderland (Avg. 1.06 goals/game)
风险因素
  • Sunderland is without D. Ballard (Red Card Suspension), R. Mundle (Hamstring Injury), S. Moore (Broken Hand), and B. Traoré (Knee Injury)
  • Manchester United has key players B. Šeško (Doubtful) and M. de Ligt (Back Injury) whose availability is uncertain
  • The Stadium of Light has seen only 20% BTTS and 40% Over 2.5 goals in its last 5 matches, suggesting a tendency for lower-scoring games
概述

Sunderland (12th place, 47 points) hosts Manchester United (3rd place, 64 points) at the Stadium of Light

Premier League match on May 9, 2026, 3:00 PM

Manchester United is aiming for a top position, while Sunderland is in the mid-table

近期状态

Sunderland's current form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is WWLLD

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Their last match ended in a draw

Manchester United's form is DLWWW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

They ended their last match with a win and are on a 3-game winning streak

统计数据

Sunderland scored an average of 1.06 goals per game this season and conceded 1.31 goals

At home, they scored 1.05 goals and conceded 0.86 goals per home game

Manchester United scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.37 goals per game

Away from home, they scored 1.80 goals and conceded 1.73 goals per away game

Sunderland had 16 both teams to score (BTTS) games and 15 over 2.5 goals games

Manchester United had 26 BTTS games and 22 over 2.5 goals games

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between Sunderland and Manchester United so far

Manchester United won the last encounter on October 4, 2025, with a score of 0:2

Manchester United dominated this last fixture

关键球员

For Sunderland, Granit Xhaka in midfield is a key player with 1 goal and 6 assists at an average rating of 7.13

Enzo Le Fée contributes from midfield with 4 goals and 5 assists at a rating of 6.92

Nordi Mukiele, a defender, scored 3 goals and provided 4 assists, with 2 goals in his last 5 games

For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes is a crucial player with 8 goals and 19 assists, plus 5 assists in his last 5 games

Matheus Cunha, an attacker, scored 9 goals and 2 assists, scoring twice in his last 5 games

Kobbie Mainoo in midfield has 1 goal and 2 assists, with his form rising and 1 goal in his last 5 games

门将

Robin Roefs is Sunderland's goalkeeper and has recorded 10 clean sheets this season

Senne Lammens is Manchester United's goalkeeper with 6 clean sheets this season

Roefs has an average rating of 6.97 in 32 appearances, while Lammens is at 6.72 in 29 appearances

影响因素

The playing surface is grass

The home advantage for Sunderland is reflected in an average of 1.05 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded per home game

The Stadium of Light has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 games

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