Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United
09/05/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
2.8
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Brighton & Hove Albion
Leeds United
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
64%
平局
23%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
36%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Strong home win prediction: The mathematical model estimates a 64% probability of a home win with 1.97 expected goals for Brighton
- Offensive upward trend: Brighton currently averages 2.8 goals per match, scoring more frequently than their season average of 1.6
- Tactical dominance: Brighton averaged 69% possession and 5.6 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
- Away weakness: Leeds United concedes an average of 2.19 goals per away match
- Struggling attack: Leeds United's goal production has stalled, recently averaging just 0.8 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.5
概述
Brighton & Hove Albion (10th place, 3 points) host Leeds United (9th place, 4 points) at The American Express Community Stadium
Premier League clash on September 5, 2026, 3:00 PM
A mid-table battle early in the season
近期状态
Brighton shows inconsistent form with LDWWL in their last matches
They recently suffered a narrow 3-4 defeat against Chelsea
Leeds United appears slightly more stable with DWLWD, recently recording a 1-1 draw against Brentford
统计数据
Brighton averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game this season
Leeds United struggles heavily on the road, conceding an average of 2.19 goals per away match
The visitors managed only 2 clean sheets in 16 away matches
历史交锋
The historical record is balanced with one win for each side
In 2 meetings, Brighton scored 3 goals while Leeds United scored once
The last encounter ended in a 1-0 victory for Leeds United
关键球员
Pascal Groß shines in midfield with an average rating of 7.2 across 19 appearances
Maxim De Cuyper shows a rising trend with 2 goals this season
For Leeds United, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the main threat with 14 goals this season
Not nominated: Mats Wieffer (2 goals, 3 assists) for Brighton, and Brenden Aaronson (4 goals, 5 assists), Jaka Bijol (1 goal, 2 assists), Joe Rodon (2 goals) for Leeds United
门将
Bart Verbruggen made 38 appearances this season, recording 10 clean sheets
James Trafford is in goal for Leeds, whose team kept 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Brighton enjoys home advantage with 1.36 goals scored per home match at their stadium
The last 5 games at The American Express Community Stadium all produced over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.4 goals per match