Premier League
Newcastle United - AFC Bournemouth
09/05/2026, 11:30 AM
预期进球
1.7
3.8
2.1
1:2
8%2:2
7%2:1
7%1:3
6%2:3
5%xG 分解
Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
23%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
73%
Under 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
52%
Under 3.5
48%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
72%
否
28%
关键因素
- High goal probability: The model predicts a 73% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score
- Head-to-head advantage for Bournemouth: The visitors are unbeaten in 5 matches against Newcastle (2 wins, 3 draws)
- Newcastle recently averaged 4.2 shots on target with balanced possession (49%) in recent matches
风险因素
- Bruno Guimarães, Nick Woltemade, William Osula are missing, with only 59% of the team's goal-scoring threat available
- Bournemouth's goal production is currently stalling at an average of 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.8
- Newcastle's goal production is currently stalling at 1.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.8
概述
Newcastle United (7th place, 4 points) hosts AFC Bournemouth (14th place, 1 point) at St. James' Park
Premier League match on September 5, 2026, 12:30 PM
The hosts aim to solidify their position in the upper half, while Bournemouth seeks their first win of the season
近期状态
Newcastle United in DWLDW form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Won their last match against Tottenham Hotspur 2-0
AFC Bournemouth in WDDLD form with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Most recently drew 1-1 against Everton
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Newcastle United averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per season
In 26 home matches, Newcastle scored an average of 1.38 goals and conceded 1.15
AFC Bournemouth scores an average of 1.53 goals and concedes 1.42
In 19 away matches, Bournemouth concedes an average of 1.79 goals while scoring 1.53
历史交锋
Total of 5 head-to-head matches in the database
No home wins for Newcastle, 2 wins for Bournemouth, and 3 draws
Goal record of 6:10 from Newcastle United's perspective
The last encounter on April 18, 2026, ended 1-2 in favor of Bournemouth
关键球员
Anthony Elanga with 4 goals in his last 5 matches and a rating of 7.23
Yoane Wissa recently contributed 3 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.22
Lewis Hall impressed with a rating of 7.09 in his last 5 appearances
Marcus Tavernier scored 2 goals with a recent rating of 7.42
Adrien Truffert contributed 2 assists with a rating of 7.28
Alex Scott recorded 1 goal and a rating of 7.16 in 3 matches
门将
Lukas Hornicek in goal for Newcastle United
Djordje Petrovic is in goal for Bournemouth with a seasonal rating of 6.80
Newcastle United kept 8 clean sheets this season
AFC Bournemouth achieved 11 clean sheets so far
影响因素
The match is played on grass at St. James' Park
The last 5 matches at this venue averaged 3.6 goals per game
Both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals in all of these 5 games
Newcastle scored 36 goals in 26 home matches