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Premier League

Manchester City - Coventry City

09/05/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Manchester City
1.6
Total xG
2.5
Coventry City
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
MCCC

Manchester City

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.78
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.12
Phil Foden替补席 (7球, 5助攻)
Bernardo Silva  未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)

Coventry City

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.15
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.06

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.55
+0.55
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

28%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

51%

否

49%

关键因素
  • Tactical superiority: Manchester City controlled recent matches with an average of 60% possession and generated 5.4 shots on target per game
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 50% home win probability with 1.57 expected home goals
  • Contrasting start: Table-toppers Manchester City collected maximum points, while Coventry City remains pointless at the bottom
风险因素
  • Prominent absentees: Phil Foden (7 goals, 5 assists) and Bernardo Silva (2 goals, 4 assists) are missing from Manchester City's starting lineup
  • Stalling attack: Manchester City's recent goal production of 1.8 goals per match is below their season average of 2.2
概述

Manchester City (1st place, 6 points) host Coventry City (17th place, 0 points) at the Etihad Stadium

Premier League match on September 5, 2026, 3:00 PM

The league leaders face the pointless underdogs

Manchester City started the season perfectly with two wins

近期状态

Manchester City: Form WDLWW, 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in the last 5 matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Recently two consecutive wins for the home side

Coventry City: Form WWWLL, 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Recently two consecutive defeats for the visitors

统计数据

Manchester City averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded last season

City's home record stands at an average of 2.05 goals scored and 0.64 conceded

Coventry City averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded away last season

The last 5 home matches for City all ended with over 2.5 goals

关键球员

Erling Haaland scored 27 goals and provided 8 assists last season

Rayan Cherki stands out with 4 goals and 12 assists

Antoine Semenyo scored 7 goals last season

门将

Gianluigi Donnarumma recorded 9 clean sheets at home last season

Carl Rushworth is in goal for Coventry City

影响因素

Home advantage for Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium on grass

An average of 3.0 goals per match in recent games at this venue

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