Premier League
Brentford - Sunderland
09/05/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.2
1.2
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
7%1:2
6%xG 分解
Brentford
Sunderland
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
24%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Defensive home advantage: Brentford's compact home defense (0.91 goals conceded average) meets Sunderland's vulnerable away defense allowing 1.87 goals
- Tactical structure: Brentford recently averaged 4.0 shots on target, while Sunderland averaged 4.2 attempts in their recent matches
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a solid home win probability of 56%
风险因素
- Sunderland's away weakness with an average of 1.87 goals conceded per game on the road
- Brentford's stalling goal production recently with only 1.4 goals compared to their season average of 1.6
概述
Brentford (6th place, 4 points) host Sunderland (12th place, 3 points) at the Gtech Community Stadium
Premier League match on September 5, 2026, 3:00 PM
The hosts aim to establish themselves in the upper half of the table
近期状态
Brentford form across all competitions: LDDWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Sunderland form across all competitions: DWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Sunderland recently recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Brentford's recent record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
统计数据
Brentford scored 55 goals in 38 season games (Avg. 1.45 per game)
Sunderland recorded 42 goals in 38 games (Avg. 1.11 per game)
The hosts conceded 1.37 goals on average, while the visitors conceded 1.26 on average
Sunderland concedes an average of 1.87 goals away from home while scoring only 1.13
Brentford concedes an average of only 0.91 goals at home
历史交锋
2 head-to-head matches in recent years ended evenly split
Both teams recorded 1 win each
The last encounter on January 7, 2026, ended in a 3-0 victory for Brentford
关键球员
Igor Thiago scored 22 goals this season with an average rating of 7.07
Kevin Schade scored 8 goals and provided 3 assists in 35 appearances
Enzo Le Fée contributed 5 goals and 6 assists with an average rating of 7.02
Brian Brobbey scored 7 goals this season and netted 3 times in his last 5 games
Granit Xhaka recorded 1 goal, 6 assists, and an average rating of 7.13 in 34 appearances
门将
Caoimhín Kelleher played 37 games this season with an average rating of 6.91
Robin Roefs made 35 appearances with an average rating of 6.94
In 38 league games, Brentford kept 10 clean sheets, while Sunderland recorded 11 clean sheets
影响因素
Home advantage is reflected in Brentford's home record with only 0.91 goals conceded per game
The Gtech Community Stadium averaged 2.8 goals per match over the last 5 games
Matches at the home stadium ended with over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases