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Premier League

Everton - Manchester United

09/06/2026, 01:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Everton
1.1
Total xG
2.6
Manchester United
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
EVEMU

Everton

排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第3位, 相差10位)
-0.27
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
Iliman Ndiaye未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Michael Keane替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Jake O'Brien替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Tim Iroegbunam未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

Manchester United

状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.26
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.10
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第13位, 相差10位)
+0.07
Amad Diallo未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

29%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Manchester United averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Manchester United is currently scoring more frequently with 2.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.9
  • The prediction model forecasts an away win for Manchester United with a probability of 44%
风险因素
  • Everton will have to play without several regular starters such as Iliman Ndiaye
  • Manchester United concedes an average of 1.53 goals per away game
  • Limited data availability regarding duel statistics in recent matches
概述

Everton (10th place, 4 points) host Manchester United (12th place, 3 points) at the Hill Dickinson Stadium

Premier League match on September 6, 2026, 3:00 PM

Manchester United are favored with a 44% win probability according to mathematical predictions

近期状态

Everton shows inconsistent form with DLLWD

Most recently drawing 1-1 against AFC Bournemouth

Manchester United enters with form of DWWLW

Coming off a strong 5-2 home win against Ipswich Town

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Last season Everton scored an average of 1.24 goals per game and conceded 1.32

At home, Everton averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.29 conceded

Manchester United averaged 1.82 goals scored per match while conceding 1.32

Away from home, the Red Devils averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Everton, 2 wins for Manchester United, and 1 draw

The goal difference is 3-7 from Everton's perspective

The last meeting ended in a 0-1 away win for Manchester United on February 23, 2026

关键球员

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall scored 8 goals and provided 4 assists this season with a 7.01 rating

James Tarkowski has 2 goals, 3 assists, and an average rating of 7.14

Thierno Barry has contributed 8 goals this season

Bruno Fernandes stands out with 9 goals and 21 assists with a 7.77 rating

Bryan Mbeumo has already scored 11 goals this season

Matheus Cunha has recorded 10 goals and 2 assists

门将

Jordan Pickford is in goal for Everton and recorded 11 clean sheets last season

Senne Lammens guards the net for Manchester United and recorded 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The match takes place at Hill Dickinson Stadium on grass

The venue averages 3.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of the 5 historical matches played at this ground

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