Premier League
Hull City - Aston Villa
09/05/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.5
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
10%0:1
9%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Hull City
Aston Villa
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
31%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Form gap: Hull City is undefeated in their last 5 matches (DWWWW) while Aston Villa starts with two consecutive defeats
- Tactical counter-attack: Hull averaged 3.2 shots on target with just 33% possession in recent matches
- Balanced predictions: The mathematical model predicts an extremely close match with 34% home win and 35% away win
风险因素
- Ollie Watkins is missing from Aston Villa's squad, leaving only 68% of their usual goal threat available
- Low goal threat: Hull City averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
- Defensive weakness away: Aston Villa concedes an average of 1.69 goals per away game
概述
Hull City hosts Aston Villa at the MKM Stadium
Premier League match on September 5, 2026, 5:30 PM
Surprise third-place Hull City (6 points) face bottom-placed Aston Villa (0 points)
A matchup with highly contrasting starts to the season
近期状态
Hull City is in strong shape with the form DWWWW
The hosts are coming off four consecutive victories
Aston Villa travels with the form WWWLL after two straight defeats
Form summary numbers: Hull with 4 wins and 1 draw, Villa with 3 wins and 2 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Hull City scores an average of 1.49 goals and concedes 1.35 per season
Their home record stands at an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.42 conceded
Aston Villa scores an average of 1.47 goals and concedes 1.29 per game
Away from home Villa is defensively weaker with 1.69 goals conceded per match
Hull City kept 14 clean sheets this season compared to Villa's 9
关键球员
Oliver McBurnie is a key pillar in Hull's attack with 11 goals and 5 assists in 23 home matches
John Egan stabilizes the hosts' defense with 28 appearances at the MKM Stadium
Emiliano Buendía is a creative force in Villa's midfield with 6 goals and 2 assists this season
John McGinn adds significant threat from midfield with 5 goals and 4 assists
门将
Konstantinos Tzolakis has played twice for Hull City at home this season, earning a strong 7.86 average rating
Zion Suzuki guarded the goal for Aston Villa in one away match so far
Hull City kept 14 clean sheets this season compared to 9 clean sheets for the visitors from Birmingham
影响因素
The MKM Stadium features a natural grass pitch
Historical stadium statistics show an average of 1.4 goals per match
Both teams scored in only 2 of the last 5 home games, with just one match exceeding 2.5 goals
Hull City's home average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.42 conceded highlights their home-ground factor